← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-08-30
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: scout_ml.
21–14 · 60% · +5.02u across the last 1 days
08/3021–1460%+5.02u4 games
LAS @ SEA3–7−4.42u
- Dominique Malonga Under 9.5 REB15 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMalonga crashed the glass relentlessly, hauling in 15 rebounds across 34 minutes with zero fouls to constrain her activity, far exceeding the 9.5 line despite shooting just 38% from the field. Her 25% usage rate and limited scoring role made her a pure rebounder, and she dominated that end of the floor to deliver a 5+ board beat.
- Rae Burrell Under 2.5 REB4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurrell secured 4 rebounds in 28 minutes with 39% usage, one more than the 2.5 line required, as she stayed out of foul trouble (1 PF) and remained on the floor for high-volume scoring opportunities. The under missed by a narrow margin despite her shooting struggles (7-18 FG, 0-6 3PT), as her elevated minutes and role were enough to generate an extra board.
- Flau'jae Johnson Over 4.5 REB3 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJohnson fell one rebound short despite solid volume (29 min, 33% usage), hampered by five personal fouls that limited her ability to crash the boards and stay on the court for crucial possessions.
- Flau'jae Johnson Over 7.5 RA5 vs 7.5no clean explanationJohnson's playmaking dried up despite heavy usage (33%), finishing with just 2 assists and 5 turnovers in 29 minutes as LSU's offense struggled in a blowout loss. The combination of shot-heavy offensive role and poor ball security left her well short of the 7.5 assist line.
- Dominique Malonga Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMalonga went 0-for-4 from three despite heavy volume (34 minutes, 25% usage), staying true to her interior-oriented role and never finding rhythm from distance. The bet needed just one make from deep, but she remained a non-factor beyond the arc while dominating inside with 15 rebounds.
- Dominique Malonga Under 11.5 RA18 vs 11.5paid over the fair numberMalonga crushed the board with 15 rebounds in 34 minutes, nearly doubling her projection as the team's primary rebounder in a high-volume role (25% usage). The aggressive offensive rebounding—she had multiple put-back attempts despite shooting just 38% from the field—pushed her well past 11.5 total rebounds.
CON @ DAL4–1+2.52u
- Paige Bueckers Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBueckers went 1-for-3 from three despite solid overall efficiency (54% TS), failing to generate enough volume or makes from deep in 25 minutes of play. She leaned heavily on mid-range and paint scoring (5-10 FG inside the arc) rather than launching threes, leaving the over just short.
MIN @ ATL3–0+2.87u
GSV @ POR11–6+4.05u
- Veronica Burton Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurton went 1-for-5 from three despite solid overall efficiency, missing the extra three-pointer needed to clear the line due to low volume in a blowout win where she prioritized playmaking (6 assists) over shooting. Her 18% usage rate left limited opportunities to accumulate the second three needed to cash the over.
- Emily Engstler Over 9.5 RA5 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upEngstler played just 23 minutes and recorded only 5 rebounds despite efficient scoring (4-6 FG), falling well short of the 9.5 ra line due to limited court time and opportunities on the glass. Her modest usage rate (22%) and low rebound total suggest reduced involvement in a game where she may have been in foul trouble or saw reduced playing time in her team's flow.
- Emily Engstler Over 14.5 PA13 vs 14.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upEngstler fell one assist short despite efficient scoring (87% TS), held back by limited floor time at 23 minutes and low usage (22%), which constrained her playmaking opportunities in a blowout game.
- Megan DiLeo Over 18.5 PR15 vs 18.5paid over the fair numberDiLeo's 15 points fell short of the 18.5 line despite solid efficiency (6-10 FG, 57% TS) because she logged just 24 minutes and a 23% usage rate, limiting her volume on a night when she was playing efficient but didn't get enough shot attempts to reach the scoring threshold.
- Megan DiLeo Over 14.5 PTS12 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upDiLeo fell just short despite efficient shooting (6-10 FG, 57% TS) because limited minutes (24) and modest usage (23%) capped her volume—she needed just one more made field goal to clear 14.5, but couldn't generate enough shot attempts in a game where her role was reduced.
- Megan DiLeo Over 4.5 REB3 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upDiLeo fell one rebound short despite efficient scoring (6-10 FG in 24 minutes), as limited usage (23%) and low volume opportunities in a blowout loss restricted her glass touches to just 3 boards.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.