← scout_ml · WNBA

2026-09-17

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: scout_ml.

27–13 · 68% · +9.72u across the last 1 days · 1 voided, zero benchmark units

09/1727–13 ·1 void68%+9.72u5 games
CON @ ATL2–3−1.52u
  • DeWanna Bonner Under 5.5 RA6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationBonner grabbed 5 rebounds in just 11 minutes of play, hitting the over despite minimal offensive involvement (1-3 FG, 2 pts), as her rebounding activity proved sufficient to clear the 5.5 line. The limited minutes kept her well below her typical usage rate, but her 45% rebound rate (5 boards in 11 min) was enough to narrowly bust the under.
  • Angel Reese Under 0.5 3PM1 vs 0.5no clean explanationReese's elite overall efficiency (11-14 FG, 84% TS%) and high usage (34%) on a blowout night (+31) created opportunities from everywhere on the floor, and she capitalized on her only three-point attempt to go 1-1 from deep. The under missed because even a player with a modest three-point volume is likely to hit at least one look when shooting at such a high clip in a game where the team dominated.
  • Rhyne Howard Over 21.5 PR16 vs 21.5paid over the fair numberHoward's shot selection and efficiency collapsed, going 3-14 from the field (21%) with a league-worst 32% true shooting despite playing 28 minutes and maintaining high usage at 27%. The combination of poor shooting splits and limited free-throw volume (4 attempts) left her well short of the 21.5-point line.
LAS @ DAL7–4+1.44u
  • Ariel Atkins Over 9.5 PA5 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAtkins' assist total was crippled by her 9% usage rate and minimal offensive involvement—she attempted just 3 shots in 23 minutes—leaving her well short of the 9.5 assists needed despite solid efficiency when she did touch the ball.
  • Maddy Siegrist Under 12.5 PR14 vs 12.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upSiegrist shot 5-of-10 from the field (50%) in 23 minutes, outpacing her season efficiency to finish with 12 points and narrowly clear the 12.5 line despite modest usage at 17%.
  • Jessica Shepard Under 16.5 RA23 vs 16.5shots didn't fall — the read held upShepard's 12 assists were the outlier—well above her typical playmaking volume—and combined with 11 rebounds, she easily cleared 16.5 total rebounds+assists despite modest scoring of 13 points on 28 minutes.
  • Jessica Shepard Under 20.5 PA25 vs 20.5shots didn't fall — the read held upShepard's 12 assists—nearly double her typical output—drove the miss; she was heavily involved in ball movement (22% usage rate) and finished with 25 total plays (13 pts + 12 ast) despite modest shooting volume (11 FGA).
PHO @ POR3–0 ·1 void+2.52u
LVA @ SEA5–1+3.53u
  • Chelsea Gray Under 9.5 RA15 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray exceeded the 9.5 rebound line with 9 boards despite inefficient scoring (2-8 FG), leaning heavily on her rebounding role in 26 minutes of play. The under missed because she grabbed all 9 rebounds on volume alone—her team was shooting just 31% TS%, generating extra miss opportunities that fell into her lap on the glass.
WAS @ CHI10–5+3.75u
  • Georgia Amoore Over 1.5 REB1 vs 1.5no clean explanationAmoore finished with just 1 rebound in 23 minutes despite efficient scoring (4-of-8 FG), as her role was primarily as a facilitator (5 ast) rather than a rebounder. She fouled out with 4 personal fouls, which may have limited her ability to crash the boards late.
  • Shakira Austin Over 11.5 RA10 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationAustin fell one rebound short despite efficient scoring (8-15 FG), held back by limited minutes (28) and available playing time in a blowout win (+30). Her 7 boards plus 3 assists came up just short of the 11.5 rebound assist line, as the game script didn't require extended minutes.
  • Michaela Onyenwere Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOnyenwere hit 2-of-7 from three despite modest usage (24%), riding hot efficiency (55% TS%) and extended floor time (21 min) that created enough three-point attempts to clear the 1.5 threshold. The under missed by one make on a night where she stayed aggressive from deep despite shooting just 40% from distance.
  • Sydney Taylor Over 12.5 PTS12 vs 12.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberTaylor fell one point short despite solid minutes (20) and usage (33%), undone by poor shooting efficiency—she made just 4 of 12 from the field (33% FG) and missed 5 of 7 three-pointers in what became a low-volume scoring night.
  • Shakira Austin Over 27.5 PR27 vs 27.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upAustin fell one point shy of 27.5, finishing with 27 points on solid 54% true shooting but limited offensive opportunities with just 29% usage over 28 minutes. The under caught a break as her efficient night wasn't quite enough volume to push past the line.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.