← scout_ml · WNBA

2026-09-18

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: scout_ml.

13–13 · 50% · −3.11u across the last 1 days · 3 voided, zero benchmark units

09/1813–13 ·3 void50%−3.11u3 games
IND @ TOR7–10 ·3 void−5.05u
  • Laura Juskaite Under 14.5 PA24 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJuskaite's 24 PA crushed the under as she logged a season-high 30 minutes with 28% usage, converting 8-of-15 FG (53%) to generate nearly 11 more shot attempts than the betting line anticipated. Her elite 64% true shooting efficiency meant she punished the volume, finishing with 22 points on a hot night that turned a conservative under projection into a decisive miss.
  • Makayla Timpson Over 17.5 PRA9 vs 17.5no clean explanationTimpson's minutes were slashed to just 14, cutting her usage to 14%, which severely limited opportunities to reach 17.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. She managed only 9 PRA despite solid efficiency (67% TS), simply lacking the volume needed to cash the over.
  • Makayla Timpson Over 8.5 PTS4 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upTimpson's playing time was severely limited to just 14 minutes, cutting her offensive opportunities in half and preventing her from reaching the scoring threshold despite efficient 67% true shooting. Her low 14% usage rate—indicative of a reduced role—meant she simply didn't have enough shot volume or touches to generate the scoring needed to clear 8.5 points.
  • Laura Juskaite Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberJuskaite hit 2-of-6 from three, exceeding the 1.5 line despite a modest 33% three-point clip, as her elevated 30-minute role and 28% usage ensured enough volume to clear the threshold.
  • Aliyah Boston Under 0.5 3PM2 vs 0.5no clean explanationBoston connected on 2-of-2 from three in 28 minutes of play, well above the 0.5 threshold, as she stayed efficient from deep despite her modest 16% usage rate.
  • Laura Juskaite Under 12.5 PTS22 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJuskaite nearly doubled the 12.5 projection by shooting an efficient 8-15 from the field (53%) with strong free-throw conversion (4-5), combining volume and accuracy to reach 22 points in 30 minutes of heavy usage (28%).
NYL @ MIN1–3−2.07u
  • Pauline Astier Under 6.5 PTS14 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAstier was remarkably efficient from the field, shooting 6-8 (75%) with a perfect 2-2 from three, and stayed on the court for 27 minutes without fouling out, allowing her to accumulate 14 points despite modest 14% usage.
  • Napheesa Collier Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCollier exceeded the assist line by dishing 4 assists in 32 minutes while posting a season-high 21% usage rate, generating extra playmaking opportunities despite her heavy scoring load. The turnover-heavy game (6 TOs) and aggressive offensive approach created more ball-handling situations that naturally pushed her over the 2.5-assist threshold.
  • Jonquel Jones Over 1.5 3PM1 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberJones went 1-for-3 from three and leaned heavily on mid-range and paint scoring (8-17 FG overall), relying on her strong inside game rather than volume from deep despite the 30-minute run.
POR @ GSV5–0+4.02u

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.