← scout_ml · WNBA

2026-09-21

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: scout_ml.

6–5 · 55% · −0.05u across the last 1 days

09/216–555%−0.05u2 games
DAL @ PHO0–1−1.00u
  • Alyssa Thomas Under 30.5 PRA38 vs 30.5no clean explanationThomas dominated the glass and orchestrated the offense with 11 rebounds and 12 assists on 32 minutes, combining for 23 of her 38 PRA and far exceeding typical production levels. Her elite 58% true shooting kept her efficient enough to stay on the floor despite moderate usage, allowing her to accumulate value across multiple stat categories.
ATL @ NYL6–4+0.95u
  • Allisha Gray Over 5.5 RA4 vs 5.5paid over the fair numberGray came up one rebound short despite 32 minutes and solid 72% TS, as she prioritized scoring (14 pts on efficient 5-8 FG) over crashing the glass in a blowout where Atlanta didn't need her rebounding load.
  • Naz Hillmon Under 1.5 3PM2 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon connected on 2-of-5 three-point attempts (40%) despite modest usage, hitting at well above her season efficiency to clear the 1.5 three-point line in limited 17-minute action.
  • Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones exceeded the assist line by distributing the ball from the post in 35 minutes of heavy usage (22%), recording 4 dimes while dominating the glass with 12 rebounds. Her elevated role as a facilitator—typical for a big handling the ball in the mid-post—pushed her playmaking volume just beyond the low 2.5 threshold.
  • Isobel Borlase Over 3.5 PTS0 vs 3.5game script — blowout or foul troubleBorlase played only 8 minutes and took just one shot (missing both her field goal and three-point attempt), leaving her well short of the 3.5-point line with zero points on 6% usage.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.