← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-09-27
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: scout_ml.
29–11 · 73% · +11.52u across the last 1 days
09/2729–1173%+11.52u3 games
IND @ LVA4–1+2.25u
- A'ja Wilson Under 40.5 PRA56 vs 40.5paid over the fair numberWilson's elite 86% true shooting on 32% usage—fueled by a scorching 15-19 from the field—generated 38 points that easily cleared the scoring portion of the over, and her 16 rebounds pushed the combined PRA well past 40.5. The combination of high-volume efficiency and rebounding dominance made the under an underdog from the start.
WAS @ ATL7–3+2.33u
- Rhyne Howard Under 22.5 PR27 vs 22.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward's perfect 10-10 free throw shooting—combined with 39 minutes of heavy usage (24%)—pushed her over the total despite an inefficient 7-18 from the field, as she compensated for poor shot selection with aggressive attacking that drew fouls in a blowout win (+19).
- Georgia Amoore Over 3.5 AST3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberAmoore fell one assist short despite 24 minutes of play, as a 20% usage rate and 4 turnovers limited her ability to run the offense and create scoring opportunities. She was a pass away from hitting the over, but the low offensive volume simply didn't generate enough playmaking chances.
- Jordin Canada Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5paid over the fair numberCanada went 0-for-3 from three despite heavy usage (36 min, 11 ast), staying aggressive as a playmaker but unable to convert from deep; her 42% TS% and four total makes on 11 attempts indicates she leaned heavily on two-pointers and free throws instead.
DAL @ GSV18–7+6.94u
- Gabby Williams Under 19.5 PR23 vs 19.5paid over the fair numberWilliams exceeded the 19.5 projection by scoring 20 points on efficient 50% shooting (8-16 FG) while logging 27 minutes and commanding 30% usage—her hot hand and high volume proved too much for the under. The +27 rating also reflects she was a net-positive force in a blowout, limiting her foul trouble (2 PF) and keeping her on the floor for full run.
- Paige Bueckers Under 27.5 PRA29 vs 27.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upBueckers' elite 90% FG and 100% 3PT shooting (9-10 from field, 2-2 from three) on 23% usage generated 21 points in just 25 minutes, and combined with 6 rebounds and 2 assists she cleared the 27.5 line at 29 PRA despite limited court time. The under-25-minute projection couldn't overcome her historic shooting efficiency.
- Maddy Siegrist Under 11.5 PR14 vs 11.5no clean explanationSiegrist's 14 points exceeded the 11.5 line despite modest volume, as she converted 2-of-3 free throws and hit a three-pointer in limited 21-minute action, with her 53% true shooting keeping her efficient enough to push over despite a -18 rating in a blowout loss.
- Maddy Siegrist Under 11.5 PRA14 vs 11.5no clean explanationSiegrist exceeded the 11.5 PRA line with 14 (11 pts + 3 reb) despite modest shooting efficiency, as she stayed out of foul trouble and logged 21 minutes with steady 25% usage in a game where Villanova needed her production. The under missed because she hit her scoring floor while grabbing multiple rebounds in limited but efficient minutes.
- Kaila Charles Under 3.5 REB5 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCharles exceeded the 3.5 rebound line with 5 boards despite playing just 19 minutes and posting only 10% usage, suggesting strong rebounding activity relative to her limited offensive role. Her +16 rating and two fouls indicates she stayed available and active on the glass without foul trouble limiting her playing time.
- Kayla Thornton Under 14.5 PRA16 vs 14.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationThornton's efficient 83% true shooting—including 4-6 from the field and 2-4 from three—combined with 5 rebounds in 19 minutes to generate 16 PRA and exceed the 14.5 line. Her high-volume scoring output on strong shooting percentages overcame limited minutes and usage to push through the over.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.