← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-09-29
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: scout_ml.
15–13 · 54% · −0.79u across the last 1 days
09/2915–1354%−0.79u2 games
LVA @ IND9–12−4.42u
- Jackie Young Under 32.5 PRA40 vs 32.5shots didn't fall — the read held upYoung's elite free-throw volume (13-13 FT) compensated for modest field-goal efficiency (7-19 FG), and her 36 minutes of heavy usage (33%) generated the scoring punch needed to clear 32.5 combined with 5 assists. The perfect free-throw shooting alone added 13 points that turned what would've been a borderline performance into a comfortable 7.5-point overage.
- Kelsey Mitchell Under 25.5 PTS26 vs 25.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationMitchell's efficient 9-11 free-throw shooting (82%) and 3-4 three-point accuracy pushed her over the line despite a modest 7-16 from the field, as she capitalized on 34 minutes of playing time and 26% usage to narrowly exceed the 25.5-point threshold.
- Caitlin Clark Under 36.5 PRA49 vs 36.5shots didn't fall — the read held upClark's elite efficiency (68% TS on 32% usage) and game-high 15 assists pushed her well over the 36.5 line, as she orchestrated the offense while maintaining her scoring touch on 9-18 shooting. The combination of high volume and accuracy—particularly 5-11 from three—made the under untenable despite her 33 minutes.
- Caitlin Clark Under 4.5 REB7 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upClark exceeded the 4.5 rebound line by grabbing 7 boards in 33 minutes of high-usage play (32% usage), as she remained active on the glass despite her role as primary ball-handler and scorer. The under missed because she stayed on the floor and contributed across all stat categories in a blowout win (+15), avoiding foul trouble (6 PF) that might have limited her rebounding opportunities.
- Caitlin Clark Under 13.5 RA22 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upClark's 15 assists (tied to her 32% usage rate) drove the over, as she orchestrated the offense efficiently; her 68% true shooting and 33 minutes of floor time ensured she stayed on the court to rack up playmaking volume throughout.
- Caitlin Clark Under 31.5 PA42 vs 31.5paid over the fair numberClark's 32% usage rate and 33 minutes drove her to 42 PA, well above the 31.5 line, as she shouldered a heavy offensive load in a game where Indiana controlled pace and she remained free of foul trouble until the final frame.
MIN @ NYL6–1+3.63u
- Breanna Stewart Over 8.5 REB5 vs 8.5paid over the fair numberStewart's rebounding was unexpectedly low despite 40 minutes and strong overall efficiency, finishing with just 5 boards—3.5 short of the line—likely due to the game's pace and her offensive usage (26%) limiting second-chance opportunities.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.