← scout_ml · WNBA
2026-10-07
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: scout_ml.
11–19 · 37% · −9.18u across the last 1 days
10/0711–1937%−9.18u2 games
LVA @ GSV7–12−5.45u
- A'ja Wilson Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson went 0-for-1 from three and relied almost entirely on two-point buckets, finishing 9-for-16 from the field with all makes coming inside the arc in a game where she didn't need the deep ball to score 24 points efficiently.
- Chelsea Gray Under 17.5 PA25 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray's 25 assists blew past the 17.5 line on the strength of elite playmaking efficiency—she logged 6 dimes on just 4 turnovers while playing all 39 available minutes, forcing her into a ball-handling role that far outpaced her typical usage rate.
- Chelsea Gray Under 20.5 PRA28 vs 20.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray's efficient 60% TS and heavy 39-minute workload carried her to 28 PRA well above the 20.5 line, as she converted 7-of-15 from the field while adding 6 assists and 2 steals in extended run without foul trouble.
- Gabby Williams Under 22.5 PR25 vs 22.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationWilliams exceeded the under on a efficient scoring night, shooting 7-17 from the field with a 53% true shooting percentage while playing all 30 available minutes and commanding 33% usage rate. Her 20 points plus 5 rebounds pushed her past 22.5 points responsible, as she stayed out of foul trouble (2 PF) and remained on the court to accumulate scoring opportunities.
- Stephanie Talbot Under 10.5 PRA14 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upTalbot's efficient 10 points on just 4 field-goal attempts (75% FG, 100% 3PT) combined with 4 rebounds to exceed the 10.5 line, benefiting from high-volume three-point attempts despite limited overall usage in 21 minutes.
- Stephanie Talbot Under 5.5 PTS10 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upTalbot was efficient from beyond the arc (2-2 from three) and didn't miss a free throw attempt (2-2), converting 75% of her shots overall to easily surpass the 5.5-point line despite playing only 21 minutes.
NYL @ ATL4–7−3.74u
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 23.5 PRA21 vs 23.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu fell just short at 21 PRA despite playing all 38 minutes, hamstrung by poor shooting efficiency (3-8 FG, 2-6 FT) and low usage (16%) that limited her scoring upside even with strong playmaking (7 assists).
- Jonquel Jones Over 12.5 RA8 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones shot efficiently (8-11 FG, 82% TS) but was limited to 0 assists and 8 rebounds despite 38 minutes, falling 4.5 short of the over due to a lack of involvement in playmaking and board work relative to her scoring volume.
- Pauline Astier Over 7.5 PTS5 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAstier's 2-for-6 shooting (33% FG) and limited 14 minutes left her well short, as inefficient play and reduced floor time combined to keep her at just 5 points despite 25% usage.
- Angel Reese Under 0.5 3PM1 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held upReese connected on 1-of-2 three-pointers, exceeding the under 0.5 line despite taking just two attempts from deep; she stayed efficient overall (8-16 FG, 62% TS) and played heavy minutes (39), making her occasional three-point look enough to beat the prop.
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 PR14 vs 19.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu's inefficient 3-8 shooting night (37.5% FG) limited her to just 10 points, and despite 38 minutes played, her 16% usage rate—well below her season average—meant too few scoring opportunities to reach 19.5.
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 15.5 PTS10 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu's cold shooting—just 3-8 FG (37.5%) and 2-6 from the line—combined with her lowest usage rate of the season at 16% left her well short of 15.5 despite playing heavy minutes. She couldn't generate enough scoring volume or efficiency to hit the over.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.