FULL SHEET · loading the season…
FULL SHEET · loading the season…
WNBA · published picks & research record
Follow the exact picks recorded before tip-off to their final results. Published recommendations, zero-stake paper signals and the broader legacy CORE benchmark remain separate.
Reading this date’s saved publication receipts…
Checking this date’s separate CORE signals and generation status…
SEPARATE CORE BENCHMARK · cumulative units, flat-1u normalization
The line, result and units all come from one served formula and one price floor. This measures model signal quality consistently; it is not a claim that every row was a recommended wager.
Loading the broader settled benchmark…
EXPERIMENT WINDOW · applies only to the panel, model arms, and slips below · the panel display is capped at 14 days
THE SHEET · loading the served CORE benchmark
PUBLISHED PICK RECORD · WNBA ·
Tracking exists for this league, but this date has no recorded game update. This is not a verified no-pick decision. The separate legacy benchmark remains available below.
Pick IDs, captured lines/prices and first-publication times are immutable. Settlement is joined by the exact same source ID; no name matching or reconstructed historical publication is used. Revisions retain withdrawn IDs separately.
Recommendation and zero-stake paper outcomes are reported separately. No combined ROI or flat-1u official record is inferred here. The broader CORE flat-1u benchmark below has a different population and is unchanged.
League tracking first recorded —not proof that every date or game was covered.
SEPARATE LEGACY SERVED CORE VIEW · WNBA · Sep 5
No completed evaluation has been observed for this slate since the service started. An empty card does not mean no opportunities qualified.
This broader serving view is not the frozen published cohort above. Source insertion times do not prove pre-tip publication. It can include settled games and zero-stake paper signals; it is not a combined profit record. Experiments and retrospective replays stay separate.
THE PANEL BOARD · experimental · latest 14 days · display cap
No panel calls are available in this window. This does not confirm whether the experiment ran, and does not change the official CORE record.
THE SLIPS · 2/3-leg cross-game parlays · graded in public · all time
Every night the builder composes small cross-game parlays from +EV legs only — same-game pairs get a probability haircut, and any slip that isn't +EV after the haircut is never emitted, so many nights produce nothing. The claim to audit: does the realized hit rate match the claimed joint probability? At plus prices a losing-looking record profits — a 2-leg slip near +240 breaks even at 29%.
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| Slip size | W–L–void | Claimed hit | Realized hit | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-leg | 4–21–2 | 20% | 16% | −1.35u | −5% |
| 2-leg | 19–26–3 | 35% | 42% | +15.55u | +35% |
| 3-leg (disciplined) | 0–3–0 | 21% | 0% | −3.00u | −100% |
| 2-leg (disciplined) | 3–5–0 | 36% | 38% | +0.71u | +9% |
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| Date | Legs | Odds | Claimed | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 | Angel Reese U0.5 3PM + Jordin Canada U7.5 AST + DeWanna Bonner O3.5 REB | +440 | 21% | +15% | LOSS |
| 10-24 | Angel Reese U0.5 3PM + Jordin Canada U7.5 AST | +188 | 38% | +10% | WIN |
| 10-17 | Angel Reese U2.5 AST + Jordin Canada U7.5 AST | +173 | 41% | +11% | WIN |
| 10-09 | Jonquel Jones U2.5 AST + Naz Hillmon O1.5 AST + Rhyne Howard U19.5 PTS | +446 | 21% | +14% | LOSS |
| 10-09 | DeWanna Bonner O1.5 AST + Naz Hillmon O1.5 AST + Angel Reese O10.5 REB | +439 | 24% | +28% | LOSS |
| 10-09 | Jonquel Jones U2.5 AST + Naz Hillmon O1.5 AST | +201 | 37% | +11% | LOSS |
| 10-09 | Angel Reese O10.5 REB + Jackie Young U6.5 AST | +228 | 33% | +9% | LOSS |
| 10-07 | Jordin Canada U3.5 REB + A'ja Wilson O24.5 PTS + Rhyne Howard O3.5 AST | +506 | 20% | +20% | LOSS |
| 10-07 | Jordin Canada U3.5 REB + A'ja Wilson O24.5 PTS | +212 | 36% | +12% | LOSS |
| 10-04 | Chelsea Gray U3.5 REB + Pauline Astier U3.5 REB + Jonquel Jones U9.5 REB |
| +415 |
| 22% |
| +14% |
| LOSS |
| 10-04 | Chelsea Gray U3.5 REB + Jonquel Jones U9.5 REB | +198 | 36% | +8% | LOSS |
| 10-02 | Awak Kuier O4.5 REB + Arike Ogunbowale U3.5 AST | +243 | 33% | +13% | LOSS |
| 10-01 | Lexie Hull U3.5 REB + Kelsey Mitchell O1.5 REB + Sophie Cunningham O5.5 PTS | +536 | 19% | +23% | LOSS |
| 10-01 | Lexie Hull U3.5 REB + Kelsey Mitchell O1.5 REB | +233 | 34% | +15% | WIN |
| 09-30 | Cecilia Zandalasini O1.5 REB + Gabby Williams U17.5 PTS + DeWanna Bonner O1.5 AST | +450 | 21% | +18% | LOSS |
| 09-30 | Cecilia Zandalasini O1.5 REB + Georgia Amoore U3.5 AST + Gabby Williams U17.5 PTS | +410 | 23% | +15% | LOSS |
| 09-30 | Cecilia Zandalasini O1.5 REB + Georgia Amoore U3.5 AST | +183 | 39% | +11% | LOSS |
| 09-30 | Cecilia Zandalasini O1.5 REB + Gabby Williams U17.5 PTS | +200 | 37% | +11% | LOSS |
| 09-29 | Courtney Williams U4.5 AST + Olivia Miles U6.5 AST + Caitlin Clark O8.5 AST | +504 | 21% | +24% | LOSS |
| 09-29 | Courtney Williams U4.5 REB + Napheesa Collier U7.5 REB | +214 | 35% | +9% | LOSS |
| 09-29 | Courtney Williams U4.5 AST + Olivia Miles U6.5 AST | +208 | 37% | +14% | LOSS |
| 09-27 | A'ja Wilson U3.5 AST + Jordin Canada O6.5 AST + Janelle Salaun U10.5 PTS | +485 | 20% | +15% | WIN |
| 09-27 | A'ja Wilson U3.5 AST + Jordin Canada O6.5 AST | +209 | 36% | +10% | WIN |
| 09-22 | Nneka Ogwumike O8.5 REB + Kayla Thornton U9.5 PTS + Sydney Taylor O13.5 PTS | +494 | 19% | +15% | LOSS |
| 09-22 | Kayla Thornton U9.5 PTS + Sydney Taylor O13.5 PTS | +238 | 33% | +10% | LOSS |
| 09-17 | Rhyne Howard U18.5 PTS + Kamilla Cardoso U13.5 PTS | +232 | 33% | +9% | WIN |
| 08-30 | Flau'jae Johnson O14.5 PTS + Megan DiLeo U14.5 PTS + Tiffany Hayes O12.5 PTS | +512 | 18% | +9% | WIN |
| 08-30 | Megan DiLeo U14.5 PTS + Tiffany Hayes O12.5 PTS | +243 | 31% | +5% | WIN |
| 08-29 | Alyssa Thomas U8.5 REB + Sydney Taylor O12.5 PTS | +232 | 33% | +10% | WIN |
| 08-27 | Veronica Burton U6.5 AST + Sabrina Ionescu O4.5 AST | +221 | 33% | +7% | LOSS |
| 08-25 | Courtney Vandersloot O4.5 AST + Sonia Citron O4.5 AST + Paige Bueckers U21.5 PTS | +438 | 21% | +14% | LOSS |
| 08-25 | Courtney Vandersloot O4.5 AST + Sonia Citron O4.5 AST | +191 | 38% | +10% | WIN |
| 08-23 | Makayla Timpson U7.5 REB + Chelsea Gray U11.5 PTS + Sonia Citron O4.5 AST | +441 | 22% | +19% | LOSS |
| 08-23 | Sydney Taylor O14.5 PTS + Isabelle Harrison O6.5 REB | +268 | 32% | +16% | LOSS |
| 08-23 | Makayla Timpson U7.5 REB + Chelsea Gray U11.5 PTS | +208 | 37% | +14% | LOSS |
| 08-22 | Caitlin Clark O8.5 AST + Naz Hillmon U9.5 PTS + DeWanna Bonner U6.5 REB | +486 | 19% | +10% | LOSS |
| 08-22 | Caitlin Clark O8.5 AST + Naz Hillmon U9.5 PTS | +217 | 35% | +11% | LOSS |
| 08-21 | Veronica Burton U6.5 AST + Olivia Miles U19.5 PTS | +195 | 38% | +11% | LOSS |
| 08-20 | Jessica Shepard U5.5 AST + Leïla Lacan U11.5 PTS | +227 | 35% | +13% | WIN |
| 08-19 | Kiki Rice U5.5 REB + Veronica Burton U6.5 AST + Isabelle Harrison U13.5 PTS | +409 | 22% | +10% | LOSS |
| 08-19 | Veronica Burton U6.5 AST + Isabelle Harrison U13.5 PTS | +212 | 35% | +9% | LOSS |
| 08-19 | Kiki Rice U5.5 REB + Isabelle Harrison U13.5 PTS | +205 | 35% | +6% | WIN |
| 08-18 | Kiki Rice U5.5 REB + Breanna Stewart U22.5 PTS + Rhyne Howard O3.5 AST | +461 | 21% | +16% | LOSS |
| 08-18 | Kiki Rice U5.5 REB + Breanna Stewart U22.5 PTS + Rhyne Howard O3.5 AST | +461 | 21% | +16% | LOSS |
| 08-18 | Kiki Rice U5.5 REB + Breanna Stewart U22.5 PTS | +199 | 37% | +12% | WIN |
| 08-18 | Kiki Rice U5.5 REB + Breanna Stewart U22.5 PTS | +199 | 37% | +12% | WIN |
| 08-17 | Jessica Shepard U12.5 PTS + Gabby Williams O12.5 PTS | +236 | 33% | +11% | WIN |
| 08-16 | Rhyne Howard O3.5 AST + Courtney Vandersloot O4.5 AST + Kelsey Mitchell U25.5 PTS | +465 | 19% | +8% | WIN |
| 08-16 | Rhyne Howard O3.5 AST + Courtney Vandersloot O4.5 AST | +206 | 35% | +8% | WIN |
| 08-16 | Rhyne Howard O3.5 AST + Jade Melbourne U5.5 AST | +222 | 34% | +10% | LOSS |
| 08-15 | Sabrina Ionescu U4.5 REB + Erica Wheeler O8.5 PTS + Breanna Stewart O21.5 PTS | +500 | 20% | +19% | LOSS |
| 08-15 | Sabrina Ionescu U4.5 REB + Erica Wheeler O8.5 PTS | +218 | 37% | +18% | LOSS |
| 08-11 | Sonia Citron U4.5 AST + Kiki Iriafen O8.5 REB + Kelsey Plum U4.5 AST | +503 | 18% | +11% | WIN |
| 08-11 | Sonia Citron U4.5 AST + Kiki Iriafen O8.5 REB | +215 | 33% | +3% | WIN |
| 08-10 | Natasha Cloud U6.5 AST + Ezi Magbegor U7.5 PTS | +221 | 33% | +8% | LOSS |
| 08-09 | NaLyssa Smith U8.5 REB + Courtney Williams O4.5 REB + Napheesa Collier U20.5 PTS | +581 | 17% | +19% | LOSS |
| 08-09 | NaLyssa Smith U8.5 REB + Courtney Williams O4.5 REB | +263 | 33% | +19% | LOSS |
| 08-08 | Dominique Malonga O1.5 AST + Napheesa Collier U20.5 PTS | +232 | 33% | +10% | LOSS |
| 08-06 | A'ja Wilson U10.5 REB + Rae Burrell U15.5 PTS + Carla Leite O7.5 AST | +570 | 18% | +22% | LOSS |
| 08-06 | A'ja Wilson U10.5 REB + Carla Leite O7.5 AST | +259 | 33% | +17% | LOSS |
| 08-03 | Jackie Young O3.5 REB + Sabrina Ionescu O5.5 AST | +227 | 33% | +9% | LOSS |
| 08-02 | Nneka Ogwumike O8.5 REB + Julie Allemand U7.5 PTS | +252 | 31% | +11% | LOSS |
| 07-30 | Sabrina Ionescu U5.5 AST + Maria Conde O10.5 PTS | +249 | 35% | +22% | LOSS |
| 07-28 | Napheesa Collier U2.5 AST + Carla Leite U6.5 AST + Aliyah Boston O14.5 PTS | +394 | 23% | +15% | LOSS |
| 07-28 | Napheesa Collier U2.5 AST + Carla Leite U6.5 AST | +162 | 42% | +10% | LOSS |
| 07-22 | Kayla McBride U2.5 AST + Natasha Cloud U3.5 REB + Napheesa Collier U14.5 PTS | +371 | 23% | +9% | LOSS |
| 07-22 | Kayla McBride U2.5 AST + Natasha Cloud U3.5 REB | +168 | 41% | +10% | WIN |
| 07-22 | Kayla McBride U2.5 AST + Natasha Cloud U3.5 REB | +168 | 41% | +10% | WIN |
| 07-17 | Caitlin Clark U4.5 REB + Nneka Ogwumike O8.5 REB | +226 | 33% | +8% | WIN |
| 07-12 | Julie Allemand U7.5 AST + Nyara Sabally U5.5 REB + Breanna Stewart U8.5 REB | +427 | 19% | +3% | LOSS |
| 07-12 | Julie Allemand U7.5 AST + Nyara Sabally U5.5 REB | +204 | 36% | +9% | LOSS |
| 07-10 | Jessica Shepard U12.5 REB + Erica Wheeler U5.5 AST | +214 | 36% | +12% | LOSS |
| 07-07 | Marine Johannes U9.5 PTS + Kamilla Cardoso U16.5 PTS | +225 | 35% | +12% | WIN |
| 07-06 | Kayla McBride O15.5 PTS + Courtney Williams O17.5 PTS | +259 | 31% | +12% | WIN |
| 06-30 | Chennedy Carter O11.5 PTS + Sabrina Ionescu U14.5 PTS | +287 | 32% | +23% | LOSS |
| 06-27 | Kelsey Mitchell U4.5 AST + Jordin Canada O5.5 AST + Lexie Hull U4.5 REB | +600 | 21% | +45% | LOSS |
| 06-27 | Kelsey Mitchell U4.5 AST + Jordin Canada O5.5 AST | +271 | 37% | +39% | WIN |
| 06-26 | Carla Leite O5.5 AST + Naz Hillmon U8.5 PTS | +260 | 32% | +14% | LOSS |
| 06-24 | Naz Hillmon U9.5 PTS + Kahleah Copper O18.5 PTS | +222 | 36% | +14% | WIN |
| 06-21 | Nneka Ogwumike O13.5 PTS + Kelsey Plum O20.5 PTS + Chelsea Gray O6.5 AST | +521 | 17% | +9% | LOSS |
| 06-21 | Chelsea Gray O6.5 AST + Rae Burrell U10.5 PTS | +248 | 31% | +8% | LOSS |
| 06-17 | Kiki Iriafen U8.5 REB + Sabrina Ionescu U14.5 PTS + Natasha Mack U9.5 PTS | +539 | 18% | +18% | VOID |
| 06-17 | Kiki Iriafen U8.5 REB + Sabrina Ionescu U14.5 PTS | +242 | 33% | +12% | VOID |
| 06-13 | Nneka Ogwumike O14.5 PTS + DeWanna Bonner O8.5 PTS | +251 | 32% | +11% | VOID |
| 06-11 | Jalen Brunson O2.5 REB + Julian Champagnie U1.5 AST + Luke Kornet U2.5 REB | +955 | 22% | +133% | VOID |
| 06-11 | Jalen Brunson O2.5 REB + Julian Champagnie U1.5 AST | +506 | 38% | +130% | VOID |
Separate, broader flat-1u formula benchmark—not the exact published card or its recommended stakes. Benchmark scope: WNBA consensus_devig at 1.70+ · settled through Oct 24, 2026. Lower-paying prices and unpriced rows are excluded.
HIT-LIKELIHOOD BANDS · price-derived, not an edge score · WNBA
The same 294 settled signals as the flat-1u CORE benchmark, grouped by calibrated probability of hitting at the posted price. A higher band means more likely to hit, not automatically more profitable—read the ROI beside it. Source: consensus_devig · prices 1.70+ · through Oct 24, 2026. Every settled entry is represented below.
The former agent-conviction experiment is archived through Jul 18 and is no longer mixed into current results. View its historical record →
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| Date | Lg | Pick | Mkt | Bet / Close | Grade | Result | Re-grade | Units | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OCT 24 | WNBA | Angel Reese Over 16.5 PTS | Prop | +122 / −108 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +41.35 |
| OCT 24 | WNBA | Jordin Canada Over 11.5 PTS | Prop | +115 / −108 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +42.35 |
| OCT 19 | WNBA | Kiah Stokes Over 9.5 RA | Prop | +110 / +110 | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.10 | +43.35 |
| OCT 19 | WNBA | Tiffany Hayes Under 4.5 RA | Prop | +119 / +119 | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +42.25 |
| OCT 19 | WNBA | Kayla Thornton Under 3.5 PTS | Prop | +116 / −121 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.16 | +43.25 |
| OCT 17 | WNBA | Veronica Burton Under 9.5 PTS | Prop | +127 / −102 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.27 | +42.09 |
| OCT 17 | WNBA | Kayla Thornton Under 12.5 PRA | Prop | +122 / −105 ▲ | <52% | W | excused | +1.22 | +40.82 |
| OCT 17 | WNBA | Kiah Stokes Under 2.5 PTS | Prop | +141 / +102 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +39.60 |
| OCT 17 | WNBA | Kaitlyn Chen Over 5.5 PTS | Prop | +133 / +107 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +40.60 |
| OCT 17 | WNBA | Kiah Stokes Over 8.5 REB | Prop | +158 / +118 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +41.60 |
| OCT 17 | WNBA | DeWanna Bonner Over 5.5 REB | Prop | +115 / −106 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +42.60 |
| OCT 17 | WNBA | Tiffany Hayes Over 13.5 PRA | Prop | +122 / −111 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +43.60 |
| OCT 17 | WNBA | Kiah Stokes Over 5.5 PA | Prop | +110 / −121 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.10 | +44.60 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Tiffany Hayes Over 13.5 PRA | Prop | +127 / −104 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.27 | +43.50 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Jackie Young Under 5.5 AST | Prop | +150 / +106 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.50 | +42.23 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Stephanie Talbot Under 0.5 3PM | Prop | +138 / +102 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.38 | +40.73 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Gabby Williams Over 26.5 PRA | Prop | +100 / −114 ▲ | C | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +39.35 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Tiffany Hayes Over 9.5 PTS | Prop | +138 / +100 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.38 | +40.35 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Pauline Astier Under 9.5 PRA | Prop | −106 / −128 ▲ | C | W | excused | +0.94 | +38.97 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Pauline Astier Under 3.5 RA | Prop | +114 / +104 ▲ | <52% | W | excused | +1.14 | +38.03 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Breanna Stewart Over 24.5 PTS | Prop | +144 / +102 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.44 | +36.89 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Breanna Stewart Under 11.5 RA | Prop | +127 / −106 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.27 | +35.45 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Naz Hillmon Under 13.5 PRA | Prop | +125 / −113 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.25 | +34.18 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Rhyne Howard Under 26.5 PRA | Prop | +117 / −110 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.17 | +32.93 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Angel Reese Over 11.5 REB | Prop | +146 / +105 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +31.76 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Jonquel Jones Over 1.5 3PM | Prop | −123 / −160 ▲ | B | W | ? → A+ | +0.81 | +32.76 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Pauline Astier Over 3.5 RA | Prop | +100 / −138 ▲ | C | L | excused | −1.00 | +31.95 |
| OCT 9 | WNBA | Pauline Astier Over 5.5 PTS | Prop | +130 / +106 ▲ | <52% | L | excused | −1.00 | +32.95 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Kiah Stokes Over 3.5 PTS | Prop | +115 / −115 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +33.95 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Gabby Williams Over 19.5 PTS | Prop | +127 / −103 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.27 | +34.95 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | A'ja Wilson Under 0.5 3PM | Prop | +120 / +114 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.20 | +33.68 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Gabby Williams Over 26.5 PRA | Prop | +120 / −108 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.20 | +32.48 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Kiah Stokes Under 1.5 AST | Prop | −122 / −127 ▲ | B | W | ? → A+ | +0.82 | +31.28 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | A'ja Wilson Under 25.5 PTS | Prop | +110 / +112 | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.10 | +30.46 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Tiffany Hayes Under 6.5 PTS | Prop | +120 / −104 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +29.36 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Jewell Loyd Under 1.5 3PM | Prop | −135 / −174 ▲ | B | V | excused | 0.00 | +30.36 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Jonquel Jones Over 1.5 3PM | Prop | −118 / −158 ▲ | B | W | ? → A+ | +0.85 | +30.36 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Jordin Canada Over 14.5 PTS | Prop | +125 / −107 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.25 | +29.51 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Jonquel Jones Under 26.5 PRA | Prop | +117 / −108 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +28.26 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Leonie Fiebich Over 1.5 3PM | Prop | −102 / −130 ▲ | C | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +29.26 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Rhyne Howard Under 7.5 RA | Prop | +138 / +118 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +30.26 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Jordin Canada Under 6.5 AST | Prop | +153 / +108 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +31.26 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Angel Reese Under 14.5 PTS | Prop | +138 / −101 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +32.26 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Naz Hillmon Over 12.5 PR | Prop | +100 / +102 | C | W | ? → A+ | +1.00 | +33.26 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Rhyne Howard Under 22.5 PA | Prop | +115 / −110 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A | +1.15 | +32.26 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | DeWanna Bonner Under 5.5 REB | Prop | +156 / +104 ▲ | <52% | W | ? → A+ | +1.56 | +31.11 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Allisha Gray Over 18.5 PTS | Prop | +110 / −120 ▲ | <52% | V | excused | 0.00 | +29.55 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | Jonquel Jones Under 23.5 PR | Prop | +117 / −102 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → C | −1.00 | +29.55 |
| OCT 7 | WNBA | DeWanna Bonner Over 13.5 PTS | Prop | +156 / −102 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +30.55 |
| OCT 4 | WNBA | Veronica Burton Over 6.5 AST | Prop | +174 / +109 ▲ | <52% | L | ? → D | −1.00 | +31.55 |
▲ = beat the closing line. A → F is our own honest re-grade after the game — process misses included, nothing buried. The public sheet contains 294 of 294 signals in the served CORE benchmark — rows appear as you scroll. Sign in only if you want to export the current filter as CSV.
Hover to preview · click a bar to keep its props open
Latest 10 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: WNBA consensus_devig · prices 1.70+ · through 2026-10-24.
62–58 · 52% · +16.40u across the last 10 days · 4 voided, zero benchmark units
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.
THE ARMS · shadow record, priced picks only · all time · WNBA
Every slate also runs through a panel of model arms whose picks are logged before tip and graded here — never served. Only picks with a real price count: a 55% hit rate at −130 loses money (breakeven 56.5%), so the number that matters is the edge gap — hit rate minus the breakeven the prices demand — and CLV, whether the arm beats closing lines. An arm earns a shot at the card only after 200+ priced picks with units and positive CLV.
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| Arm | W–L | Hit% | Brkeven% | Edge gap | Units | ROI | CLV | Unpriced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeepSeek V4 Flash (V4.1 from 9/10) | 4952–3373 | 59.5% | 57.1% | +2.4pp | +407.3u | +4.9% | +1.21¢ | 0 |
| Sonnet 5 | 2624–2011 | 56.6% | 55.9% | +0.7pp | +70.6u | +1.5% | +1.50¢ | 0 |
| Opus 5.5test arm — not a pick | 15–16 | 48.4% | 50.1% | −1.8pp | −0.6u | −2.0% | +3.05¢ | 0 |
| Sonnet 4.6 | 2714–1947 | 58.2% | 58.4% | −0.2pp | −3.5u | −0.1% | +1.32¢ | 0 |
| DeepSeek V4.1 Flash | 17–18 | 48.6% | 55.5% | −6.9pp | −3.8u | −10.9% | +1.96¢ | 0 |
| GPT-6 Soltest arm — not a pick | 10–12 | building · 22/25 priced | 0 | |||||
| Sonnet 5.5test arm — not a pick | 18–19 | 48.6% | 59.5% | −10.8pp | −7.0u | −19.0% | +1.67¢ | 0 |
| GPT-6 Lunatest arm — not a pick | 43–46 | 48.3% | 57.4% | −9.1pp | −13.2u | −14.8% | +1.46¢ | 0 |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 584–504 | 53.7% | 54.4% | −0.7pp | −19.5u | −1.8% | +3.56¢ | 0 |
| Opus 4.8 | 876–679 | 56.3% | 57.3% | −0.9pp | −23.6u | −1.5% | +1.09¢ | 0 |
| GPT-5.4 mini | 3347–2661 | 55.7% | 56.1% | −0.4pp | −26.3u | −0.4% | +1.18¢ | 0 |