NBA · Nov 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Orlando Magic

FinalDAL 117 – ORL 102Page updated 15:48 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 5 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Goga Bitadze · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 7 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 22 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 229.5 points · odds to win: DAL 1.97, ORL 1.93

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:48 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 324 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Jalen Suggs · assists 2.5 → 7 · 4.5 above the line · played 24.2 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.8 min · no final price

Anthony Black · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.6 min · no final price

Goga Bitadze · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.9 min · no final price

Franz Wagner · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · points 20.5 → 22 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ORL vs DAL · last 13 games · DAL leads · ORL record 4–9 · average score 106.9–112.6 · ORL has lost by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 Apr · ORL 138 at DAL 127ORL won

5 Mar · DAL 114 at ORL 115ORL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 1, expected total 229.5 (Tue 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 117 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 185 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 233 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 252 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 276 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 176 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 383 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 453 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 456 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 457 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 460 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 459 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 461 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 290 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 758 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 985 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 596 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 816 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 819 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 823 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 824 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.