NBA · Dec 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers

FinalDAL 125 – POR 112Page updated 11:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 2 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Portland Trail Blazers

Scoot Henderson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Shaedon Sharpe · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 232.5 points · odds to win: DAL 1.22, POR 4.78

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 02:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 216 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 13.4 min · no final price

Toumani Camara · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 32 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · blocks 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.4 min · no final price

Scoot Henderson · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Shaedon Sharpe · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

POR vs DAL · last 24 games · DAL leads · POR record 8–16 · average score 115.4–125.4 · POR has lost by 10 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · DAL 100 at POR 93POR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 10, expected total 232.5 (Sat 02:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 02:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 58 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 72 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 114 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 210 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 213 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 258 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 263 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 264 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 280 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 281 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 241 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 217 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 535 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 618 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 527 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 547 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 550 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 557 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 565 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.