NBA · Jan 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets

FinalPHI 105 – DEN 111Page updated 23:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 6 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 26 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 13.5 · both teams together expected to score about 223 points · odds to win: PHI 6.75, DEN 1.13

Game odds from 21 bookmakers · observed Sat 22:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 23:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 308 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · no final price

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.9 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.1 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 26.5 → 26 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.7 min · no final price

Joel Embiid · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs PHI · last 14 games · DEN leads · DEN record 10–4 · average score 115.1–109.7 · DEN has won by 5.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · PHI 96 at DEN 124DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

MyBookie.ag first had DEN expected to win by 8.5, expected total 226 (Sat 22:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 22:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 72 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 82 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 255 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 350 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 353 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 357 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 363 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 367 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 369 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 370 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 391 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 451 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 452 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 321 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 802 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 606 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 604 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 607 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 734 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 817 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.