NBA · Feb 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers

FinalDEN 127 – POR 112Page updated 08:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 7 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 29 actual

Portland Trail Blazers

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 215.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.29, POR 3.90

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 08:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game · POR had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 274 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 7 · 4.5 above the line · played 27.7 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · no final price

Toumani Camara · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 27.5 → 29 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

POR vs DEN · last 32 games · DEN leads · POR record 9–23 · average score 114.2–120.9 · POR has lost by 6.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Apr · POR 132 at DEN 137POR lost

22 Mar · POR 112 at DEN 128POR lost

20 Feb · DEN 157 at POR 103POR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 8, expected total 215.5 (Sat 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 61 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 200 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 306 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 312 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 316 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 326 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 329 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 330 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 335 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 336 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 345 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 359 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 303 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 386 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 173 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1114 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2796 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2454 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2588 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2650 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2655 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.