NBA · Mar 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers

FinalMIN 113 – IND 111Page updated 22:24 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 23 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 227 points · odds to win: MIN 1.98, IND 1.93

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:24 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 174 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.7 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points 18.5 → 23 · 4.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs MIN · last 13 games · MIN leads · IND record 4–8 · average score 115.1–118.5 · IND has lost by 3.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Apr · MIN 124 at IND 104IND lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 1, expected total 227 (Fri 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 43 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 46 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 47 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 145 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 150 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 220 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 230 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 271 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 272 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 391 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 319 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 567 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 344 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 689 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 608 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 613 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 618 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 625 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 629 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 631 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 665 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.