NBA · Mar 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat

FinalDEN 100 – MIA 88Page updated 17:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 217.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.65, MIA 2.39

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 23:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:49 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 214 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs DEN · last 19 games · DEN leads · MIA record 3–16 · average score 105.1–113.4 · MIA has lost by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 3.5, expected total 217.5 (Wed 23:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 23:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 64 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 73 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 157 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 165 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 176 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 255 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 269 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 272 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 276 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 279 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 299 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 304 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 322 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 726 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 780 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 552 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 555 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 563 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 583 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 721 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.