NBA · Mar 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalDEN 115 – MIN 112Page updated 12:01 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 3 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

blocks 2.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 216 points · odds to win: DEN 1.34, MIN 3.53

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:01 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 314 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 0.5 → 3 · 2.5 above the line · played 37.7 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 37.7 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.6 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.2 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · blocks 2.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DEN · last 45 games · DEN leads · MIN record 21–24 · average score 112.2–111.1 · MIN has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110MIN won

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125MIN lost

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112MIN won

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113MIN won

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114MIN won

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116MIN lost

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 7.5, expected total 216 (Wed 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 127 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 176 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 396 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 402 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 393 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 397 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 413 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 417 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 420 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 430 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 432 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 434 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 450 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 454 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 106 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 307 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 883 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 875 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 543 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 549 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 600 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 828 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 854 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 881 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.