NBA · Mar 26 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings

FinalDAL 132 – SAC 96Page updated 05:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 10 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

rebounds 15.5 → 11 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAC expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: DAL 2.02, SAC 1.88

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 05:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 315 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.3 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 22 min · no final price

Malik Monk · points 16.5 → 10 · 6.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

Domantas Sabonis · rebounds 15.5 → 11 · 4.5 below the line · played 31.3 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 12.5 → 10 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.9 min · no final price

Keegan Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs DAL · last 23 games · SAC leads · SAC record 13–10 · average score 113.3–112.1 · SAC has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

26 Feb · SAC 130 at DAL 121SAC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAC expected to win by 1, expected total 233.5 (Wed 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 67 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 166 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 301 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 322 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 324 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 327 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 329 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 337 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 345 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 348 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 348 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 350 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 351 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 130 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 391 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 240 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 808 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 288 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 850 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 712 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 715 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 751 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 827 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 828 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 853 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 855 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.