NBA · Apr 2 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets

FinalSAS 105 – DEN 110Page updated 22:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 15.5 · both teams together expected to score about 224 points · odds to win: SAS 10.23, DEN 1.07

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 234 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Julian Champagnie · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.3 min · no final price

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 34 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs SAS · last 22 games · DEN leads · DEN record 14–8 · average score 119.0–116.2 · DEN has won by 2.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · DEN 128 at SAS 118DEN won

4 Apr · SAS 134 at DEN 136DEN won

12 Mar · DEN 136 at SAS 131DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 15.5, expected total 224 (Wed 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 53 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 63 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 112 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 157 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 244 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 247 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 248 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 291 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 292 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 312 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 347 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 350 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 353 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 4247 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 4200 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 4200 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 4201 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 4213 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 4441 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 4738 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.