NBA · Apr 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs

FinalDEN 120 – SAS 121Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 12 actual

San Antonio Spurs

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 14 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 223 points · odds to win: DEN 1.17, SAS 5.62

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 223 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · assists 7.5 → 12 · 4.5 above the line · played 38.6 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 29 min · no final price

Julian Champagnie · points 11.5 → 14 · 2.5 above the line · played 37.2 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.8 min · no final price

Victor Wembanyama · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs DEN · last 22 games · DEN leads · SAS record 8–14 · average score 116.2–119.0 · SAS has lost by 2.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · DEN 128 at SAS 118SAS lost

4 Apr · SAS 134 at DEN 136SAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 11.5, expected total 223 (Fri 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 22 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 25 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 79 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 114 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 119 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 99 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 126 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 153 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 394 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 295 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 479 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 492 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 511 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 512 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 625 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.