NBA · Apr 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Detroit Pistons at Dallas Mavericks

FinalDET 107 – DAL 89Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Detroit Pistons

Jalen Duren · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → no final stat available

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Marcus Sasser · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 24 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 217 points · odds to win: DET 5.56, DAL 1.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DET also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 229 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.9 min · no final price

Marcus Sasser · points 12.5 → 24 · 11.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 12 min · no final price

Jalen Duren · rebounds 10.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs DET · last 12 games · DAL leads · DAL record 9–3 · average score 118.3–112.3 · DAL has won by 6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 11, expected total 217 (Sat 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 62 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 98 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 256 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 281 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 286 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 287 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 297 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 305 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 317 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 318 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 318 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 323 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 56 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 195 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 633 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 875 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 613 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 613 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 615 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 886 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.