NBA · Apr 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalDEN 108 – LAL 119Page updated 16:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

rebounds 13.5 → 14 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 219.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.69, LAL 2.31

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 236 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 39.1 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · rebounds 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 11.5 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 41.6 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · rebounds 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 41.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs DEN · last 37 games · DEN leads · LAL record 16–21 · average score 112.5–114.5 · LAL has lost by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · DEN 125 at LAL 127LAL won

5 Mar · LAL 113 at DEN 120LAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 3.5, expected total 219.5 (Sun 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 48

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 194 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 212 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 309 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 329 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 342 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 343 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 345 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 349 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 350 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 351 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 353 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 358 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 364 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 371 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 374 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 404 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 424 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 425 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 426 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 428 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 122 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 439 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-13)ok 200 · 463 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 550 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 676 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 975 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 989 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 304 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 588 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 600 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 601 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 611 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 621 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.