NBA · Apr 28 gameAll props Full sheet

LA Clippers at Dallas Mavericks

FinalLAC 116 – DAL 111Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

LA Clippers

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 209.5 points · odds to win: LAC 3.44, DAL 1.35

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 298 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Derrick Jones Jr. · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 33 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 17.9 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 41.3 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 44.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs LAC · last 44 games · LAC leads · DAL record 18–26 · average score 108.5–111.6 · DAL has lost by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Apr · DAL 103 at LAC 116DAL lost

21 Mar · LAC 138 at DAL 131DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 7, expected total 209.5 (Sun 19:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 19:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 48

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 38 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 40 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 139 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 148 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 150 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 151 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 152 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 158 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 160 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 19 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 119 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 312 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 681 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 5051 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 642 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 647 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 648 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 650 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.