NBA · Apr 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers

FinalMIL 113 – IND 126Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 9 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 13 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 24 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 214.5 points · odds to win: MIL 4.45, IND 1.24

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 244 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 14.1 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 16.5 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · points 25.5 → 13 · 12.5 below the line · played 39.7 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points 17.5 → 24 · 6.5 above the line · played 32 min · no final price

AJ Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 21.5 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 37.8 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.2 min · no final price

Myles Turner · rebounds 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs MIL · last 38 games · MIL leads · IND record 14–24 · average score 115.4–120.2 · IND has lost by 4.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 Mar · IND 123 at MIL 134IND lost

6 Feb · IND 99 at MIL 105IND lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 10, expected total 214.5 (Sun 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 60

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 40 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 45 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 130 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 130 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 132 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 136 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 137 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 148 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 152 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 167 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 235 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 213 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1275 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1389 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1390 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1393 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1395 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1395 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1521 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1525 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1532 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1537 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.