NBA · May 3 gameAll props Full sheet

LA Clippers at Dallas Mavericks

FinalLAC 101 – DAL 114Page updated 10:06 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

LA Clippers

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 0 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 0 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 209.5 points · odds to win: LAC 3.97, DAL 1.28

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:06 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 271 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · blocks 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · blocks 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · no final price

Derrick Jones Jr. · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 42.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs LAC · last 44 games · LAC leads · DAL record 18–26 · average score 108.5–111.6 · DAL has lost by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Apr · DAL 103 at LAC 116DAL lost

21 Mar · LAC 138 at DAL 131DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 8, expected total 209.5 (Sat 01:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 48

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 232 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 237 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 251 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 285 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 450 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 461 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 488 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 497 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 499 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 534 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 538 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 538 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 545 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 546 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 550 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 324 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 608 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 338 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1232 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1054 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1058 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1057 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1059 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1062 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.