NBA · May 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks

FinalIND 117 – NYK 121Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYK expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 216.5 points · odds to win: IND 3.05, NYK 1.43

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 23:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 267 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 17.7 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Miles McBride · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 10.6 min · no final price

OG Anunoby · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 42.1 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.1 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.3 min · no final price

Jalen Brunson · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 43.5 min · no final price

Josh Hart · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 48 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYK vs IND · last 35 games · NYK leads · NYK record 18–17 · average score 114.2–114.5 · NYK has lost by 0.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up114.2 points · 47.9 rebounds · 27.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

NYK gives up104.2 points · 40.7 rebounds · 25.7 assists · 33.3% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 114.2 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

NYK gives up 104.2 points a game · 3rd of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYK expected to win by 6, expected total 216.5 (Mon 23:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 23:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 66

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 19 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 27 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 33 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 92 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 120 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 134 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 239 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 520 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 648 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 123 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 184 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 197 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 198 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 200 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 343 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 349 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 350 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 351 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 351 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 352 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 359 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 363 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 364 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 368 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 374 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 380 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.