NBA · May 12 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers

FinalNYK 89 – IND 121Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 4 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 10 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

3-pointers 3.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 219.5 points · odds to win: NYK 3.03, IND 1.43

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 239 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

T.J. McConnell · assists 4.5 → 10 · 5.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

Jalen Brunson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Miles McBride · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.3 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.7 min · no final price

Josh Hart · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 23.9 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · rebounds 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 22.4 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · 3-pointers 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 21.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs NYK · last 35 games · NYK leads · IND record 17–18 · average score 114.5–114.2 · IND has won by 0.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · IND 110 at NYK 136IND lost

13 Mar · NYK 101 at IND 92IND lost

10 Feb · IND 137 at NYK 134IND won

What each defense gives up per game

NYK gives up104.2 points · 40.7 rebounds · 25.7 assists · 33.3% from three-point range

IND gives up114.2 points · 47.9 rebounds · 27.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYK gives up 104.2 points a game · 3rd of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

IND gives up 114.2 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 20 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-11)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-09)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 34 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-10)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 38 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 131 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 143 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 152 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 43 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 63 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 168 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 168 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 170 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 173 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 173 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 182 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 185 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 186 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 189 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.