NBA · May 17 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers

FinalNYK 103 – IND 116Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

assists 8.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 216 points · odds to win: NYK 2.70, IND 1.52

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

May not play Hart · right ankle soreness (ankle) · NYK

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 241 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 31 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Miles McBride · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.4 min · no final price

Josh Hart · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.8 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.7 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.9 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.2 min · no final price

Jalen Brunson · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · assists 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs NYK · last 35 games · NYK leads · IND record 17–18 · average score 114.5–114.2 · IND has won by 0.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · IND 110 at NYK 136IND lost

13 Mar · NYK 101 at IND 92IND lost

10 Feb · IND 137 at NYK 134IND won

What each defense gives up per game

NYK gives up104.2 points · 40.7 rebounds · 25.7 assists · 33.3% from three-point range

IND gives up114.2 points · 47.9 rebounds · 27.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYK gives up 104.2 points a game · 3rd of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

IND gives up 114.2 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 5, expected total 216 (Sat 00:30 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:30 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2024-05-16)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 30 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-09)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-12)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-10)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-15)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-13)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-14)ok 200 · 38 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-11)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 76 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 128 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 130 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 135 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 143 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 521 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 566 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 572 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1773 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 34 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 93 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 94 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 105 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 107 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 107 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 108 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 108 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 109 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 495 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.