NBA · May 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets

FinalMIN 98 – DEN 90Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Strawther · left knee sprain (knee) · DEN

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Strawther · left knee sprain (knee) · DEN

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 3 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 2 actual

Anthony Edwards · Out · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · listed out, then played

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 5 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 201 points · odds to win: MIN 2.58, DEN 1.56

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:00 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Strawther · left knee sprain (knee) · DEN

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 232 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 0.5 → 3 · 2.5 above the line · played 39.7 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 42.6 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 42.4 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 43.8 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · blocks 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 46.6 min · no final price

Christian Braun · points 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs MIN · last 45 games · DEN leads · DEN record 24–21 · average score 111.1–112.2 · DEN has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110DEN lost

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125DEN won

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112DEN lost

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113DEN lost

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114DEN lost

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116DEN won

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up107.0 points · 43.2 rebounds · 24.0 assists · 32.0% from three-point range

DEN gives up113.1 points · 43.9 rebounds · 28.6 assists · 34.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 107.0 points a game · 6th of 30 · league average 113.4−6.4 vs average

DEN gives up 113.1 points a game · 14th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2024-05-16)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-17)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-18)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 26 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-10)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-12)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-14)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-13)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-11)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-09)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-15)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 49 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 51 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 53 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 146 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 148 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 148 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 150 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 150 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 78 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 232 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 245 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 101 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 101 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 102 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 103 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)failed 503 · 113 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 260 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.