NBA · Nov 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets

FinalTOR 119 – DEN 121Page updated 04:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Toronto Raptors

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 24 actual

Jamal Shead · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

RJ Barrett · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 1 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 232 points · odds to win: TOR 5.25, DEN 1.19

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 02:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:34 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 205 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · assists 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 4.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.09, Under 1.71

Jakob Poeltl · points 14.5 → 24 · 9.5 above the line · played 32.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.81

Christian Braun · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 36 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

RJ Barrett · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.94

Julian Strawther · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.32, Under 1.58

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.23, Under 1.61

Jamal Shead · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs TOR · last 13 games · DEN leads · DEN record 10–3 · average score 117.8–117.2 · DEN has won by 0.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Mar · TOR 115 at DEN 121DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 11, expected total 232 (Tue 02:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 02:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 93 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 163 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 164 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 277 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 400 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 403 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 408 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 411 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 412 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 494 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 495 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 497 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 499 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 577 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 486 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 483 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 497 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 500 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1018 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 506 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 521 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 523 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 526 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 528 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1048 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 543 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 552 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 590 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1271 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1273 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1348 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1360 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1361 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1361 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1362 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.