NBA · Nov 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks

FinalDAL 129 – ATL 119Page updated 10:06 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 10 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 2 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 6 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 11 actual

Zaccharie Risacher · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Atlanta Hawks

Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 236 points · odds to win: DAL 2.22, ATL 1.74

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:06 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 263 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Kyrie Irving · 3-pointers 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 41.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Naji Marshall · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Zaccharie Risacher · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 16.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Dereck Lively II · blocks 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 11 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.61, Under 2.25

Dyson Daniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Jalen Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 37 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

P.J. Washington · points 14.5 → 11 · 3.5 below the line · played 38.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Onyeka Okongwu · points 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 22 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Daniel Gafford · points 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs DAL · last 12 games · DAL leads · ATL record 5–7 · average score 119.7–118.3 · ATL has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

18 Mar · ATL 135 at DAL 120ATL won

10 Mar · DAL 112 at ATL 124ATL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 2.5, expected total 236 (Tue 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 115 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 129 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 267 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 275 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 286 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 300 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 305 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 325 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 333 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 334 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 336 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 559 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1095 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 5882 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 406 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 409 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 411 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 412 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 417 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 424 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 425 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 440 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 447 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 483 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 508 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 843 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 877 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 881 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 915 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 915 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 981 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 982 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 983 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 984 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.