NBA · Dec 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat

FinalTOR 104 – MIA 114Page updated 21:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Toronto Raptors

Ja'Kobe Walter · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 16 actual

RJ Barrett · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 21:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 225 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

RJ Barrett · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Jakob Poeltl · points 14.5 → 16 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Bam Adebayo · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.13, Under 1.68

Davion Mitchell · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 20.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Ja'Kobe Walter · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs TOR · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 13–13 · average score 106.8–108.2 · MIA has lost by 1.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Apr · MIA 114 at TOR 128MIA lost

7 Apr · MIA 95 at TOR 121MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 13 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 93 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 94 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 120 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 121 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 124 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 340 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 590 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2533 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3586 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 3598 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3665 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3721 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3723 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.