NBA · Dec 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings

FinalDEN 130 – SAC 129Page updated 18:27 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 24 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → no final stat available

DeMar DeRozan · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 13 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 28 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → no final stat available

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 25 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 18:27 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 159 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · points 13.5 → 24 · 10.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.43, Under 1.48

Julian Strawther · points 7.5 → 13 · 5.5 above the line · played 23.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.04

Malik Monk · points 17.5 → 25 · 7.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.62, Under 2.16

Domantas Sabonis · points 20.5 → 28 · 7.5 above the line · played 41.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.95, Under 1.32

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

DeMar DeRozan · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.48, Under 1.50

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.16

Christian Braun · points 12.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Keegan Murray · points 12.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs DEN · last 25 games · DEN leads · SAC record 9–16 · average score 113.4–117.5 · SAC has lost by 4.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 15 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 23 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 92 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 94 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 95 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 100 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 99 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 34 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 258 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 440 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3190 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3191 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 3191 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3193 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3438 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3437 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3439 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3440 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 3575 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.