NBA · Apr 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers

FinalMIL 115 – IND 123Page updated 22:25 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 6 availability alerts

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 4 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Myles Turner · Out · rest · listed out, then played

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 16 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 17 actual

Jarace Walker · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 3 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 7 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 24 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

points 18.5 → 21 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 22:25 UTC

Who is out

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 243 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

AJ Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 12.4 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 10.5 → 17 · 6.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · no final price

Gary Trent Jr. · points 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 11.5 → 16 · 4.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Jarace Walker · points 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 10.6 min · no final price

Kyle Kuzma · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 31 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.3 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · points 20.5 → 24 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points 18.5 → 21 · 2.5 above the line · played 35 min · no final price

Myles Turner · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 33 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs MIL · last 39 games · MIL leads · IND record 14–25 · average score 115.1–119.9 · IND has lost by 4.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

26 Oct · IND 102 at MIL 110IND lost

16 Oct · MIL 128 at IND 127IND lost

15 Mar · IND 123 at MIL 134IND lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIL gives up121.2 points · 48.9 rebounds · 27.8 assists · 35.7% from three-point range

IND gives up115.2 points · 47.5 rebounds · 27.1 assists · 35.9% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIL gives up 121.2 points a game · 28th of 30 · league average 113.3+7.9 vs average

IND gives up 115.2 points a game · 20th of 30 · league average 113.3+1.9 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 66

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-12)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-11)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-10)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-09)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-08)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 170 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 177 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 182 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 183 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 221 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 303 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 338 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 345 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 167 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 68 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 414 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 593 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 280 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 308 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 384 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 457 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 504 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 504 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 520 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 546 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 553 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 540 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 547 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 549 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 601 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 700 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 711 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 769 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 791 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 963 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.