NBA · Apr 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalMIN 85 – LAL 94Page updated 22:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Grimes · right finger sprain (finger) · LAL

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Grimes · right finger sprain (finger) · LAL

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 8 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 6 actual

Anthony Edwards · Out · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · listed out, then played

points 25.5 → 25 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · Out · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · listed out, then played

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Jarred Vanderbilt · minutes unknown

points 2.5 → 0 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

points 30.5 → 31 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 22:17 UTC

Who is out

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Grimes · right finger sprain (finger) · LAL

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 219 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Jarred Vanderbilt · points 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 7.7 min · no final price

Donte DiVincenzo · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 16.1 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · rebounds 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · points 11.5 → 8 · 3.5 below the line · played 38.3 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 42.6 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · points 25.5 → 25 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.1 min · no final price

Luka Dončić · points 30.5 → 31 · 0.5 above the line · played 42.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs MIN · last 27 games · MIN leads · LAL record 13–14 · average score 108.9–109.6 · LAL has lost by 0.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up107.0 points · 43.2 rebounds · 24.0 assists · 32.0% from three-point range

LAL gives up114.4 points · 40.9 rebounds · 27.6 assists · 37.6% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 107.0 points a game · 7th of 30 · league average 113.3−6.3 vs average

LAL gives up 114.4 points a game · 17th of 30 · league average 113.3about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-12)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 23 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-11)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-09)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-10)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 37 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-08)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 108 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 109 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 177 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 308 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 132 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 210 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 209 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 211 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 307 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 440 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.