NBA · Apr 26 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies

FinalOKC 117 – MEM 115Page updated 21:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 13 availability alerts

Out Mitchell · left ankle sprain (ankle) · OKC

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right knee surgery (knee) · OKC

May not play Stewart · right knee bone bruise (knee) · MEM

May not play Mashack · two-way · MEM

Out López · on assignment · MEM

Out Post · concussion (concussion) · MEM

Out Saunders · right knee surgery (knee) · MEM

Out Jr. · lumbar disc herniation · MEM

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Mitchell · left ankle sprain (ankle) · OKC

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right knee surgery (knee) · OKC

May not play Stewart · right knee bone bruise (knee) · MEM

May not play Mashack · two-way · MEM

Out López · on assignment · MEM

Out Post · concussion (concussion) · MEM

Out Saunders · right knee surgery (knee) · MEM

Out Jr. · lumbar disc herniation · MEM

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 31.5 → 38 actual

Cason Wallace · Out · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · listed out, then played

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Chet Holmgren · Out · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · listed out, then played

points 16.5 → 11 actual

Jalen Williams · Out · left ankle surgery (ankle) · listed out, then played

points + rebounds + assists 32.5 → 32 actual

Memphis Grizzlies

Zach Edey · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

Scotty Pippen Jr. · Out · lumbar disc herniation · listed out, then played

points 14.5 → 30 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 21:49 UTC

Who is out

Out Mitchell · left ankle sprain (ankle) · OKC

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right knee surgery (knee) · OKC

May not play Stewart · right knee bone bruise (knee) · MEM

May not play Mashack · two-way · MEM

Out López · on assignment · MEM

Out Post · concussion (concussion) · MEM

Out Saunders · right knee surgery (knee) · MEM

Out Jr. · lumbar disc herniation · MEM

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 218 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Scotty Pippen Jr. · points 14.5 → 30 · 15.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.4 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · points 16.5 → 11 · 5.5 below the line · played 29.1 min · no final price

Isaiah Hartenstein · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 25.3 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 31.5 → 38 · 6.5 above the line · played 38.4 min · no final price

Alex Caruso · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Zach Edey · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.5 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · points + rebounds + assists 32.5 → 32 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MEM vs OKC · last 28 games · OKC leads · MEM record 8–20 · average score 110.3–115.0 · MEM has lost by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Nov · OKC 128 at MEM 97MEM lost

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up105.9 points · 44.7 rebounds · 24.6 assists · 33.1% from three-point range

MEM gives up110.8 points · 41.9 rebounds · 24.1 assists · 32.9% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

OKC gives up 105.9 points a game · 4th of 30 · league average 113.3−7.4 vs average

MEM gives up 110.8 points a game · 11th of 30 · league average 113.3−2.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-12)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 185 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-25)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-24)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-23)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 188 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 190 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 195 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 296 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 301 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 305 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 350 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 357 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 360 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 363 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 373 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 408 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 216 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 131 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 500 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 186 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 242 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 243 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 244 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 245 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 262 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 347 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 349 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 361 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 412 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.