NBA · Apr 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalLAL 113 – MIN 116Page updated 21:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Grimes · right finger sprain (finger) · LAL

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Grimes · right finger sprain (finger) · LAL

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 17 actual

Jarred Vanderbilt · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 7.5 → 2 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

points 28.5 → 38 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 11 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Anthony Edwards · Out · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · listed out, then played

points 28.5 → 43 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · Out · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · listed out, then played

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 208.5 points · odds to win: LAL 2.27, MIN 1.71

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:45 UTC

Who is out

Out Grimes · right finger sprain (finger) · LAL

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 201 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Jaden McDaniels · rebounds 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · no final price

Jarred Vanderbilt · points + rebounds + assists 7.5 → 2 · 5.5 below the line · played 6.7 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · points 28.5 → 43 · 14.5 above the line · played 44.4 min · no final price

Luka Dončić · points 28.5 → 38 · 9.5 above the line · played 45.8 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · no final price

Donte DiVincenzo · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.6 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · points 18.5 → 17 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs LAL · last 27 games · MIN leads · MIN record 14–13 · average score 109.6–108.9 · MIN has won by 0.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

LAL gives up114.4 points · 40.9 rebounds · 27.6 assists · 37.6% from three-point range

MIN gives up107.0 points · 43.2 rebounds · 24.0 assists · 32.0% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LAL gives up 114.4 points a game · 17th of 30 · league average 113.3about league average

MIN gives up 107.0 points a game · 7th of 30 · league average 113.3−6.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-26)ok 200 · 275 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-25)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-24)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-23)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 278 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 278 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 281 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 287 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 289 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 359 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 388 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 395 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 404 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 422 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 424 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 440 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 202 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 482 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 87 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 632 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 288 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 1036 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 629 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 629 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 632 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 634 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 635 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 637 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 639 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.