NBA · Apr 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers

FinalMIL 118 – IND 119Page updated 21:25 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 6 availability alerts

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 6 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 33 actual

Jericho Sims · minutes unknown

points 2.5 → 4 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Myles Turner · Out · rest · listed out, then played

points 15.5 → 21 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 19 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 10 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 18 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

points 3.5 → 0 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

points 18.5 → 26 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 222 points · odds to win: MIL 3.90, IND 1.27

Game odds from 23 bookmakers · observed Tue 22:00 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:25 UTC

Who is out

Out Turner · rest · MIL

May not play Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 267 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Gary Trent Jr. · points 12.5 → 33 · 20.5 above the line · played 48 min · no final price

AJ Green · 3-pointers 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 46.2 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 8.5 → 18 · 9.5 above the line · played 17 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · points 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 6.3 min · no final price

Jericho Sims · points 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 11.2 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 12.5 → 19 · 6.5 above the line · played 40.6 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · points 20.5 → 10 · 10.5 below the line · played 41.2 min · no final price

Kyle Kuzma · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 12.8 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 11.1 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points 18.5 → 26 · 7.5 above the line · played 42.1 min · no final price

Myles Turner · points 15.5 → 21 · 5.5 above the line · played 42.9 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs MIL · last 39 games · MIL leads · IND record 14–25 · average score 115.1–119.9 · IND has lost by 4.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

26 Oct · IND 102 at MIL 110IND lost

16 Oct · MIL 128 at IND 127IND lost

15 Mar · IND 123 at MIL 134IND lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIL gives up121.2 points · 48.9 rebounds · 27.8 assists · 35.7% from three-point range

IND gives up115.2 points · 47.5 rebounds · 27.1 assists · 35.9% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIL gives up 121.2 points a game · 28th of 30 · league average 113.3+7.9 vs average

IND gives up 115.2 points a game · 20th of 30 · league average 113.3+1.9 vs average

How the game odds moved

BetOnline.ag first had IND expected to win by 8, expected total 222 (Tue 22:00 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 22:00 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 69

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 109 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-28)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-27)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-26)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-25)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-24)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-23)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 127 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 144 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 146 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 153 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 211 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 268 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 287 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 287 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 165 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 200 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 210 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 211 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 233 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 233 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 234 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 235 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 249 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 250 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 643 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 282 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 367 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 794 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.