NBA · May 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalMIN 103 – OKC 118Page updated 19:03 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 8 availability alerts

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 22 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 5 actual

Anthony Edwards · Out · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · listed out, then played

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · Out · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · listed out, then played

points 9.5 → 8 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 31.5 → 38 actual

Cason Wallace · Out · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · listed out, then played

points 6.5 → 8 actual

Chet Holmgren · Out · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · listed out, then played

points 14.5 → 22 actual

Jalen Williams · Out · left ankle surgery (ankle) · listed out, then played

points 20.5 → 26 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 19:03 UTC

Who is out

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 284 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Jaden McDaniels · points 11.5 → 22 · 10.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · points 14.5 → 22 · 7.5 above the line · played 31.7 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 40.1 min · no final price

Isaiah Hartenstein · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · points 20.5 → 26 · 5.5 above the line · played 38.8 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · points 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · points 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 31.5 → 38 · 6.5 above the line · played 41.8 min · no final price

Alex Caruso · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 24.2 min · no final price

Donte DiVincenzo · points 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs MIN · last 29 games · MIN leads · OKC record 14–15 · average score 112.0–113.6 · OKC has lost by 1.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up107.0 points · 43.2 rebounds · 24.0 assists · 32.0% from three-point range

OKC gives up105.9 points · 44.7 rebounds · 24.6 assists · 33.1% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 107.0 points a game · 7th of 30 · league average 113.3−6.3 vs average

OKC gives up 105.9 points a game · 4th of 30 · league average 113.3−7.4 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2025-05-21)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-18)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-19)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-16)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-20)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-17)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-15)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-14)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-12)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-11)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-08)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-13)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-10)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-09)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 80 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 95 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 122 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 125 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 133 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 180 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 228 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 255 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 161 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1765 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 148 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 151 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 194 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 195 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 203 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 202 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 384 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 607 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 608 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.