NBA · May 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalOKC 101 – MIN 143Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 8 availability alerts

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 3 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 18.5 → 12 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Cason Wallace · Out · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · listed out, then played

points 6.5 → 2 actual

Chet Holmgren · Out · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · listed out, then played

points 15.5 → 10 actual

Jalen Williams · Out · left ankle surgery (ankle) · listed out, then played

points 20.5 → 13 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Anthony Edwards · Out · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · listed out, then played

points 27.5 → 30 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · Out · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · listed out, then played

points + rebounds + assists 15.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 216.5 points · odds to win: OKC 1.72, MIN 2.26

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Out Edwards · right knee arthroscopy (knee) · MIN

Out DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair/surgery (achilles) · MIN

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 275 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · points 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · no final price

Alex Caruso · points 7.5 → 3 · 4.5 below the line · played 9.7 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · points 20.5 → 13 · 7.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · no final price

Donte DiVincenzo · points + rebounds + assists 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 16.3 min · no final price

Isaiah Hartenstein · points + rebounds + assists 18.5 → 12 · 6.5 below the line · played 19.1 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · points 27.5 → 30 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.7 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.3 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs OKC · last 29 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–14 · average score 113.6–112.0 · MIN has won by 1.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 Mar · MIN 103 at OKC 116MIN lost

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up104.2 points · 44.8 rebounds · 24.4 assists · 32.6% from three-point range

MIN gives up107.0 points · 43.2 rebounds · 24.0 assists · 32.0% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

OKC gives up 104.2 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.4−9.2 vs average

MIN gives up 107.0 points a game · 6th of 30 · league average 113.4−6.4 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2025-05-23)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-21)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-15)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-18)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-16)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-22)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 18 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-20)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-12)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-10)ok 200 · 23 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-13)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-14)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-11)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 44 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 92 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-17)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-19)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 108 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 122 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 110 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 147 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 285 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 167 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 187 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 192 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 192 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 193 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 228 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 396 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 428 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 522 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.