NBA · Dec 18 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalHOU 128 – NOP 133Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 11 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Steven Adams · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 6 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Jordan Poole · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 254 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Saddiq Bey · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 44.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.46, Under 1.53

Jeremiah Fears · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 20.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Kevin Durant · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 42.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Zion Williamson · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 21.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Derik Queen · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Reed Sheppard · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 27 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Jordan Poole · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Trey Murphy III · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Alperen Sengun · rebounds 9.5 → 11 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Amen Thompson · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Steven Adams · points 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs HOU · last 26 games · HOU leads · NOP record 12–14 · average score 115.2–114.7 · NOP has won by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · HOU 134 at NOP 102NOP lost

13 Mar · NOP 105 at HOU 107NOP lost

18 Jan · NOP 110 at HOU 119NOP lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 73 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 79 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 138 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 263 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 269 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 274 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 276 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 283 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 289 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 402 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 406 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 350 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 381 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 388 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 407 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 417 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 428 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 956 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1108 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1107 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1197 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1549 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1569 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1569 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1569 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1572 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1571 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1573 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1570 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1574 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1573 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.