NBA · Jan 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks

FinalHOU 104 – ATL 86Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes14 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 7 actual

Clint Capela · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 8 actual

Jae'Sean Tate · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 4 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Atlanta Hawks

Asa Newell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

CJ McCollum · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Corey Kispert · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → no final stat available

Mouhamed Gueye · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 3 actual

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 224.5 points · odds to win: HOU 1.38, ATL 3.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 409 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 7 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

14 other players with a posted line

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 34.9 min · no final price

Reed Sheppard · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · no final price

Clint Capela · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 17.9 min · no final price

Mouhamed Gueye · rebounds 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 20.5 min · no final price

CJ McCollum · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.6 min · no final price

Asa Newell · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.3 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.9 min · no final price

Corey Kispert · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 31 min · no final price

Dyson Daniels · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · rebounds 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 35 min · no final price

Jae'Sean Tate · points 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.2 min · no final price

Kevin Durant · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Jabari Smith Jr. · rebounds 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Jalen Johnson · assists 7.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs HOU · last 14 games · HOU leads · ATL record 6–8 · average score 115.1–117.5 · ATL has lost by 2.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Mar · ATL 95 at HOU 117ATL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 6.5, expected total 224.5 (Fri 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 61

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 21 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 22 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 36 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 126 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 129 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 131 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 131 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 131 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 165 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 165 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 88 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 241 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 697 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 884 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 884 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 885 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 884 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 886 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 943 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 974 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 986 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 986 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 986 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1179 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1010 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1020 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1085 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1089 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.