NBA · Feb 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat

FinalMEM 120 – MIA 136Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Memphis Grizzlies

Cam Spencer · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

GG Jackson · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 9 actual

Jaylen Wells · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Scotty Pippen Jr. · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 18 actual

Taylor Hendricks · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 2 actual

Ty Jerome · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Walter Clayton Jr. · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 7 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 238 points · odds to win: MEM 5.32, MIA 1.19

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 370 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Scotty Pippen Jr. · points 10.5 → 18 · 7.5 above the line · played 20.6 min · no final price

Taylor Hendricks · rebounds 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 24.3 min · no final price

GG Jackson · rebounds 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Cam Spencer · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.9 min · no final price

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 35 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · no final price

Andrew Wiggins · rebounds 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Jaylen Wells · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

Ty Jerome · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.4 min · no final price

Walter Clayton Jr. · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs MEM · last 14 games · MEM leads · MIA record 6–8 · average score 111.6–109.7 · MIA has won by 1.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

21 Feb · MEM 120 at MIA 136MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 11.5, expected total 238 (Sun 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 19 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 29 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 109 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 110 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 112 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 116 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 118 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 120 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 122 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 138 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 168 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 154 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 235 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 485 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 659 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 560 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 562 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 695 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 796 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 799 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 830 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 840 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 858 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 859 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.