NBA · Feb 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks

FinalMEM 124 – DAL 105Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Memphis Grizzlies

Cam Spencer · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

GG Jackson · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Jaylen Wells · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Scotty Pippen Jr. · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Taylor Hendricks · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Walter Clayton Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → no final stat available

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 5 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 238 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Walter Clayton Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Max Christie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 29 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Naji Marshall · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

GG Jackson · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.4 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Scotty Pippen Jr. · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Taylor Hendricks · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 23.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Cam Spencer · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 25 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Jaylen Wells · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 20 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Caleb Martin · points 6.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs MEM · last 24 games · MEM leads · DAL record 11–13 · average score 108.7–110.4 · DAL has lost by 1.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Mar · DAL 120 at MEM 112DAL won

27 Feb · MEM 124 at DAL 105DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 28 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 119 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 121 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 142 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 143 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 144 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 130 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 148 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 149 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 167 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 417 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1532 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1531 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1531 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1565 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1564 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1564 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1565 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1667 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1625 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1692 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.