NBA · Mar 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Orlando Magic

FinalDAL 114 – ORL 115Page updated 13:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 13 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 2 actual

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 8 actual

Desmond Bane · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Jevon Carter · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Tristan da Silva · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 123 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · steals 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.51, Under 2.47

Tristan da Silva · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 6.5 → 13 · 6.5 above the line · played 24.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Naji Marshall · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 5.00, Under 1.14

Desmond Bane · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Caleb Martin · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 11.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Anthony Black · points 14.5 → 8 · 6.5 below the line · played 23.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Jalen Suggs · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Wendell Carter Jr. · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 23.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.76

Paolo Banchero · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Jevon Carter · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 19 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ORL vs DAL · last 13 games · DAL leads · ORL record 4–9 · average score 106.9–112.6 · ORL has lost by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 Apr · ORL 138 at DAL 127ORL won

5 Mar · DAL 114 at ORL 115ORL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 25 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 113 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 114 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 118 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 119 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 120 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 122 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 141 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 151 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 229 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 146 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 721 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1047 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 325 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1301 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1300 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1303 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1378 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1384 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1442 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1442 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1454 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1547 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1548 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1618 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.