NBA · Mar 9 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalDEN 126 – OKC 129Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 13 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → no final stat available

Jared McCain · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 197 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Jared McCain · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 21.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 39 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Nikola Jokić · assists 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 40.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.88

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Cameron Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Christian Braun · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Jaylin Williams · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Chet Holmgren · rebounds 9.5 → no final stat available · Caesars odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.05

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs DEN · last 32 games · DEN leads · OKC record 15–17 · average score 112.4–111.9 · OKC has won by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · OKC 107 at DEN 127OKC lost

9 Mar · DEN 126 at OKC 129OKC won

27 Feb · DEN 121 at OKC 127OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 12 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 27 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 118 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 119 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 122 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 121 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 122 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 112 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 157 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 374 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 565 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1091 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1051 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1072 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1145 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1147 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1151 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1204 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1219 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1416 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1424 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.