NBA · Mar 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalDEN 125 – LAL 127Page updated 14:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 245 points · odds to win: DEN 1.75, LAL 2.22

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 22:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 234 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · no final price

Cameron Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 43 min · no final price

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.2 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · points 25.5 → 5 · 20.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 43 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 45.5 min · no final price

Luka Dončić · rebounds 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 43 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs DEN · last 37 games · DEN leads · LAL record 16–21 · average score 112.5–114.5 · LAL has lost by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · DEN 125 at LAL 127LAL won

5 Mar · LAL 113 at DEN 120LAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 2.5, expected total 245 (Sat 22:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 22:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 25 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 92 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 113 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 114 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 117 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 118 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 120 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 123 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 86 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 243 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 359 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 195 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1334 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2182 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1847 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2012 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2014 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2012 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2013 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2097 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 3093 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.