NBA · Mar 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalMIA 120 – CLE 103Page updated 13:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 28 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 8 actual

James Harden · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 9 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

CLE also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 250 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

James Harden · rebounds 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 42.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Evan Mobley · points 18.5 → 8 · 10.5 below the line · played 30.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Davion Mitchell · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.96

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Sam Merrill · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.24, Under 1.63

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.84

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.98

Donovan Mitchell · points 27.5 → 28 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.94

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs MIA · last 28 games · CLE leads · CLE record 14–14 · average score 112.4–110.1 · CLE has won by 2.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · MIA 128 at CLE 149CLE won

25 Mar · MIA 120 at CLE 103CLE lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 12 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 43 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 84 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 91 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 92 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 92 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 95 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 100 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 300 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 934 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1449 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1467 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1476 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1521 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1522 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1650 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1652 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1651 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1652 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.