NBA · Apr 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets

FinalMIN 119 – DEN 114Page updated 09:47 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 30 actual

Ayo Dosunmu · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 7 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

rebounds 13.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 09:47 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 283 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Christian Braun · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Rudy Gobert · points 10.5 → 2 · 8.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Donte DiVincenzo · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Ayo Dosunmu · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Anthony Edwards · points 26.5 → 30 · 3.5 above the line · played 40 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Cameron Johnson · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Nikola Jokić · rebounds 13.5 → 15 · 1.5 above the line · played 40.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 42.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs MIN · last 45 games · DEN leads · DEN record 24–21 · average score 111.1–112.2 · DEN has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110DEN lost

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125DEN won

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112DEN lost

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113DEN lost

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114DEN lost

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116DEN won

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 63

sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-09)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-12)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-10)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-07)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 70 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 153 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 155 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 158 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-11)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 170 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-13)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 199 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-08)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 209 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-06)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 228 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 232 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 237 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 266 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 709 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 709 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1037 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 447 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 456 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1563 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1563 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1798 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1800 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1802 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1833 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1834 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1925 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1928 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.