02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

13 players checked · 10 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 3 of 13 players have performed clearly differently and 1 shows a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

New York Knicksplaying ATL

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown
assists 6.5 → 3 actual
Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown
points 5.5 → 7 actual
Josh Hart · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual
Miles McBride · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual
OG Anunoby · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Atlanta Hawksplaying NYK

CJ McCollum · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 3 actual
Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown
assists 4.5 → 6 actual
Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
Mouhamed Gueye · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 4 actual
Nickeil Alexander-Walker · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 1 actual
Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 282 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 4 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
13 other players with a posted line
Mikal Bridges · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69
Miles McBride · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.60, Under 2.27
Nickeil Alexander-Walker · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.23, Under 1.62
Jalen Brunson · assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00
Josh Hart · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 31 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45
Karl-Anthony Towns · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56
Dyson Daniels · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.12
Jalen Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05
Onyeka Okongwu · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05
Jordan Clarkson · points 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 20.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36
Mouhamed Gueye · points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 11 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.91
OG Anunoby · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59
CJ McCollum · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 32 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

ATL vs NYK · last 35 games · NYK leads · ATL record 13–22 · average score 109.9–114.6 · ATL has lost by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · NYK 140 at ATL 89ATL lost
28 Apr · ATL 97 at NYK 126ATL lost
25 Apr · NYK 114 at ATL 98ATL lost
23 Apr · NYK 108 at ATL 109ATL won
20 Apr · ATL 107 at NYK 106ATL won
18 Apr · ATL 102 at NYK 113ATL lost
6 Apr · NYK 108 at ATL 105ATL lost
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

DraftKings first had NYK expected to win by 1.5, expected total 214.5 () and later NYK expected to win by 2.5, expected total 214.5 ().

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 72
sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 63 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 65 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 66 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 67 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 68 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 69 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 192 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 193 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 195 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 195 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 196 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-13)ok 200 · 198 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-12)ok 200 · 199 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-11)ok 200 · 200 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 208 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 210 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 315 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 327 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 332 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 342 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 344 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 347 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 355 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 407 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 408 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 409 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 410 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1214 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 1304 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3157 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 97 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 106 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 108 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 112 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 200 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 200 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 208 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 214 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 301 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 304 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 314 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 318 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 319 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 323 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 346 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 354 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 385 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 397 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1687 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1803 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2037 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2040 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2238 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2242 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2246 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2244 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2251 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2254 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 2253 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2256 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2311 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.