02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

14 players checked · 7 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 3 of 14 players have performed clearly differently and 3 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Atlanta Hawksplaying NYK

CJ McCollum · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual
Corey Kispert · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 3 actual
Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown
assists 5.5 → 5 actual
Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown
assists 6.5 → 6 actual
Mouhamed Gueye · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 0 actual
Nickeil Alexander-Walker · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 3 actual
Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

New York Knicksplaying ATL

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual
Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown
points 5.5 → 9 actual
Josh Hart · minutes unknown
assists 4.5 → 4 actual
Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
Miles McBride · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual
OG Anunoby · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 282 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
14 other players with a posted line
CJ McCollum · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77
Mouhamed Gueye · points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 0 · 4.5 below the line · played 4.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.05
Miles McBride · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 20 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.50, Under 2.43
Jordan Clarkson · points 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 16.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47
Corey Kispert · points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74
Onyeka Okongwu · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38
Karl-Anthony Towns · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63
Mikal Bridges · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59
Jalen Brunson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63
OG Anunoby · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.23, Under 1.62
Nickeil Alexander-Walker · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54
Josh Hart · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50
Dyson Daniels · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61
Jalen Johnson · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

NYK vs ATL · last 35 games · NYK leads · NYK record 22–13 · average score 114.6–109.9 · NYK has won by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · NYK 140 at ATL 89NYK won
28 Apr · ATL 97 at NYK 126NYK won
25 Apr · NYK 114 at ATL 98NYK won
23 Apr · NYK 108 at ATL 109NYK lost
20 Apr · ATL 107 at NYK 106NYK lost
18 Apr · ATL 102 at NYK 113NYK won
6 Apr · NYK 108 at ATL 105NYK won
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 75
sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 33 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 35 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 36 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 38 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 38 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 39 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 42 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 45 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 50 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 52 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 53 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 55 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 55 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 57 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 58 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 62 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 138 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 144 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 146 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 150 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 21 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 24 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 159 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 159 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 160 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 163 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 168 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 175 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 130 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 557 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 681 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1244 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 258 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 268 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 307 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 399 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 416 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 417 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 426 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 429 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 433 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 434 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 439 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 441 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 443 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 456 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 466 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 473 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 488 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 515 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 522 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 536 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 541 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 574 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 585 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 728 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 730 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 732 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 760 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 776 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1157 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1158 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1158 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1158 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1158 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1252 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1265 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1265 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1265 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1602 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1606 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1608 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1995 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1995 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.