Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.
Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted
Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
Our picks, raw · 32
Jaden McDaniels · U 9.5 points+257value_edge_pct +56.52 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 10
Paolo Banchero · U 19.5 points+150value_edge_pct +51.94 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 11
Anthony Edwards · U 3.5 rebounds+199value_edge_pct +37.10 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 19
Jalen Suggs · U 3.5 assists+186value_edge_pct +35.24 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 25
Jaden McDaniels · U 3.5 rebounds+186value_edge_pct +34.90 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 26
LaMelo Ball · U 3.5 rebounds+170value_edge_pct +28.71 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 39
Jonathan Kuminga · U 9.5 points+205value_edge_pct +22.89 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 51
Desmond Bane · U 14.5 points+210value_edge_pct +22.79 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 53
Franz Wagner · U 4.5 rebounds+203value_edge_pct +21.22 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 57
Tristan da Silva · U 1.5 threes+155value_edge_pct +20.12 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 68
Jaden McDaniels · U 13.5 points+156value_edge_pct +16.55 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 96
Anthony Edwards · U 24.5 points+141value_edge_pct +12.76 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 137
LaMelo Ball · U 18.5 points+132value_edge_pct +11.64 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 149
LaMelo Ball · O 13.5 ra+135value_edge_pct +10.89 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 161
Tristan da Silva · U 2.5 rebounds+135value_edge_pct +9.49 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 204
Tristan da Silva · U 14.5 pra+105value_edge_pct +9.05 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 213
Franz Wagner · U 19.5 points+115value_edge_pct +8.86 · kelly 1.95u · price_check unchecked · rank 218
Jonathan Kuminga · O 7.5 ra+117value_edge_pct +8.37 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 233
Anthony Edwards · O 33.5 pa+116value_edge_pct +7.87 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 252
Tristan da Silva · O 12.5 pa+115value_edge_pct +7.51 · kelly 1.65u · price_check unchecked · rank 269
Jalen Suggs · O 12.5 points+111value_edge_pct +7.51 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 274
Anthony Edwards · U 28.5 points+116value_edge_pct +7.45 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 276
Franz Wagner · O 21.5 points+117value_edge_pct +7.39 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 277
Desmond Bane · O 21.5 pa+102value_edge_pct +6.89 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 305
Wendell Carter Jr · U 9.5 points+110value_edge_pct +6.78 · kelly 1.55u · price_check unchecked · rank 308
Anthony Edwards · U 37.5 pra+105value_edge_pct +6.59 · kelly 1.55u · price_check unchecked · rank 310
Jalen Suggs · O 17.5 pa+100value_edge_pct +5.85 · kelly 1.45u · price_check unchecked · rank 323
Franz Wagner · O 25.5 pa+100value_edge_pct +5.63 · kelly 1.40u · price_check unchecked · rank 326
Wendell Carter Jr · U 18.5 pr−122value_edge_pct +5.24 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 337
Tristan da Silva · O 1.5 threes−127value_edge_pct +4.25 · kelly 1.35u · price_check unchecked · rank 359
Tristan da Silva · O 1.5 assists−138value_edge_pct +3.60 · kelly 1.25u · price_check unchecked · rank 372
Tristan da Silva · U 3.5 rebounds−139value_edge_pct +3.47 · kelly 1.20u · price_check unchecked · rank 374
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 45
Tristan da Silva Over 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −127 · bet_clv:2329753 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.3% · unexplained · actual 1 · 29.4 min · started
Terrence Shannon Jr. Over 0.5 3PMWIN +0.63ubet −160 · bet_clv:2329750 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.2% · actual 3 · 28.6 min · started
Franz Wagner Over 21.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +117 · bet_clv:2329749 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.5% · unexplained · actual 18 · 32.9 min · started
Desmond Bane Over 21.5 PALOSS −1.00ubet +102 · bet_clv:2329745 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.9% · unexplained · actual 5 · 26.9 min · started
Jaden McDaniels Under 13.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +156 · bet_clv:2329743 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.5% · unexplained · actual 15 · 29.8 min · started
LaMelo Ball Over 13.5 RALOSS −1.00ubet +135 · bet_clv:2329741 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.2% · unexplained · actual 10 · 23.1 min · started
LaMelo Ball Under 18.5 PTSWIN +1.32ubet +132 · bet_clv:2329740 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.1% · actual 12 · 23.1 min · started
Jalen Suggs Over 12.5 PTSWIN +1.11ubet +111 · bet_clv:2329751 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 14 · 34.1 min · started
Rudy Gobert Under 13.5 REBWIN +0.41ubet −245 · bet_clv:2318716 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 71.3% · actual 9 · 29.6 min · started
Tristan da Silva Under 3.5 REBWIN +0.72ubet −139 · bet_clv:2318715 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.2% · actual 3 · 29.4 min · started
Tristan da Silva Under 14.5 PRAWIN +1.05ubet +105 · bet_clv:2318714 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.2% · actual 9 · 29.4 min · started
Tristan da Silva Over 12.5 PALOSS −1.00ubet +115 · bet_clv:2318713 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.0% · unexplained · actual 6 · 29.4 min · started
Jalen Suggs Under 4.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −200 · bet_clv:2318712 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.4% · unexplained · actual 6 · 34.1 min · started
Franz Wagner Under 4.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +203 · bet_clv:2318711 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.0% · unexplained · actual 6 · 32.9 min · started
Jaden McDaniels Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +186 · bet_clv:2318706 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.2% · unexplained · actual 6 · 29.8 min · started
Jaden McDaniels Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +257 · bet_clv:2318705 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.8% · unexplained · actual 15 · 29.8 min · started
LaMelo Ball Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +170 · bet_clv:2318703 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.7% · unexplained · actual 5 · 23.1 min · started
Anthony Edwards Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +199 · bet_clv:2318701 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.9% · unexplained · actual 4 · 33.2 min · started
Anthony Edwards Under 37.5 PRAWIN +1.05ubet +105 · bet_clv:2318700 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 52.0% · actual 23 · 33.2 min · started
Anthony Edwards Under 24.5 PTSWIN +1.41ubet +141 · bet_clv:2318698 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.8% · actual 15 · 33.2 min · started
Wendell Carter Jr Under 18.5 PRWIN +0.82ubet −122 · bet_clv:2318697 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.8% · actual 17 · 22.3 min · started
Wendell Carter Jr Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +110 · bet_clv:2318696 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.8% · unexplained · actual 13 · 22.3 min · started
LaMelo Ball Under 8.5 ASTWIN +0.54ubet −184 · bet_clv:2318702 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.5% · actual 5 · 23.1 min · started
Franz Wagner Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.41ubet −245 · bet_clv:2318710 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.2% · actual 18 · 32.9 min · started
Desmond Bane Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.34ubet −295 · bet_clv:2318708 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 78.2% · actual 2 · 26.9 min · started
Tristan da Silva Under 1.5 3PMWIN +1.55ubet +155 · bet_clv:2311888 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.1% · actual 1 · 29.4 min · started
Tristan da Silva Under 2.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +135 · bet_clv:2311887 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.6% · unexplained · actual 3 · 29.4 min · started
Tristan da Silva Over 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −138 · bet_clv:2311886 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.1% · unexplained · actual 1 · 29.4 min · started
Paolo Banchero Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.50ubet −200 · bet_clv:2311885 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 65.3% · actual 14 · 26.4 min · started
Paolo Banchero Under 19.5 PTSWIN +1.50ubet +150 · bet_clv:2311884 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.8% · actual 14 · 26.4 min · started
Jalen Suggs Over 17.5 PAWIN +1.00ubet +100 · bet_clv:2311883 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.9% · actual 20 · 34.1 min · started
Jalen Suggs Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +186 · bet_clv:2311882 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.3% · unexplained · actual 6 · 34.1 min · started
Franz Wagner Under 19.5 PTSWIN +1.15ubet +115 · bet_clv:2311881 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.6% · actual 18 · 32.9 min · started
Franz Wagner Over 25.5 PALOSS −1.00ubet +100 · bet_clv:2311880 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.8% · unexplained · actual 23 · 32.9 min · started
Jonathan Kuminga Over 7.5 RAWIN +1.17ubet +117 · bet_clv:2311879 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · actual 13 · 27.5 min · started
Jonathan Kuminga Under 14.5 PTSWIN +0.48ubet −210 · bet_clv:2311878 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.1% · actual 11 · 27.5 min · started
Jonathan Kuminga Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +205 · bet_clv:2311877 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.3% · unexplained · actual 11 · 27.5 min · started
Jonathan Kuminga Under 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −158 · bet_clv:2311876 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.7% · unexplained · actual 5 · 27.5 min · started
Desmond Bane Under 19.5 PTSWIN +0.63ubet −160 · bet_clv:2311875 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.5% · actual 5 · 26.9 min · started
Desmond Bane Under 14.5 PTSWIN +2.10ubet +210 · bet_clv:2311874 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.6% · actual 5 · 26.9 min · started
Jaden McDaniels Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.26ubet −380 · bet_clv:2311873 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 77.9% · actual 3 · 29.8 min · started
LaMelo Ball Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.61ubet −165 · bet_clv:2311872 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.5% · actual 5 · 23.1 min · started
Anthony Edwards Under 34.5 PTSWIN +0.38ubet −260 · bet_clv:2311871 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 76.7% · actual 15 · 33.2 min · started
Anthony Edwards Under 28.5 PTSWIN +1.16ubet +116 · bet_clv:2311870 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.7% · actual 15 · 33.2 min · started
Anthony Edwards Over 33.5 PALOSS −1.00ubet +116 · bet_clv:2311869 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · unexplained · actual 19 · 33.2 min · started
Data fetches · 28
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 38 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 38 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 38 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 38 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 68 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 114 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 116 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 127 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 140 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 145 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 152 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 157 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 108 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 109 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 110 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 110 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 111 ms
odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 111 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 112 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 113 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 114 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 125 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 126 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 599 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)failed 502 · 9774 ms